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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)48% (529–574, n=1103)54% (19–16, n=35)55% (403–333, n=736)
Consensus PnL$544K$2.4K$412K
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #137PM monthly #128
Sides with the consensus67% (90 of 135 open)100% (2 of 2 open)59% (107 of 180 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 100% of 128)26% (won 100% of 6)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 175)57% (won 100% of 13)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 28)13% (won 100% of 3)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-nigiri99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus Gen.G
Gen.G $9.1KGen.G $45KGen.G $4.9K
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
Michigan State $2.8K—Washington $93K
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
Tennessee $27K—Texas A&M $1.4K
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $23K—Under $123
Spread: Tennessee (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
Tennessee $18K—Texas A&M $277
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
Wild $9.9K—Bruins $6
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
Virginia Tech $4.7K—Stanford $4.4K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Kentucky $940—Florida $6.7K
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $4.6K—Over $2.8K
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $16—Yes $6.8K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $5.8K—Heat $766
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
USC $3.1K—Indiana $3.0K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Maple Leafs $5.5K—Oilers $20
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $183—Nets $5.2K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Avalanche $2.4K—Canadiens $1.6K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.5K—Over $2
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.0K—Under $2.4K
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
Tulane $630—Rice $2.2K
Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $270—Over $1.9K
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
Kentucky $1.2K—Florida $679
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $908—Under $931
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
Blackhawks $1.8K—Jets $29
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $692—Over $810
Boston College vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Boston College $5—Notre Dame $1.1K
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
USC $50—Indiana $902
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
Liberty $590—Middle Tennessee $32
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison $198—Amanda Nunes $376
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $90—Yes $110
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
Mississippi State $73—Auburn $34
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears
opposite sides · consensus California Golden Bears
California Golden Bears $6—Utah Tech Trailblazers $8
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
Kansas $38K—Kansas $188
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
Georgia State $29K—Georgia State $623
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $11K—Nets $17K
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State $24K—Kennesaw State $1.4K
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
Stars $9.6K—Stars $15K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Gen.G
Gen.G $23K—Gen.G $1.1K
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
San Jose State $16K—San Jose State $853
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
USC $16K—USC $2
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $15K—Over $521
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia State
Georgia State $12K—Georgia State $863
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech $6.4K—Virginia Tech $2.8K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Gen.G $5.6K—Gen.G $3.1K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.3K—Over $784
Panthers vs. Blues
same side · consensus Blues
Blues $4.5K—Blues $514
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Under $2.9K
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Gen.G $1.7K—Gen.G $771
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
Georgia State $287—Georgia State $2.0K
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
Kevin Holland $188—Kevin Holland $1.7K
UFC 334: Alatengheili vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
same side · consensus Juan Diaz
Alatengheili $10—Alatengheili $941
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
Boston College $42—Boston College $745