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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2503–1011, n=3514) | 48% (551–602, n=1153) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 55% (430–355, n=785) |
| Consensus PnL | $488K | $482K | $2.4K | $344K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #137 | PM monthly #128 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (90 of 183 open) | 62% (82 of 132 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 56% (101 of 180 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 26% (won 100% of 6) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
35 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $146 | Nets $11K | — | Nets $17K |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Florida $2.9K | Kentucky $940 | — | Florida $6.7K |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $454 | No $19 | — | Yes $6.8K |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | Blackhawks $134 | Blackhawks $1.8K | — | Jets $7 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $87 | No $96 | — | Yes $102 |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus Kansas | Kansas $6 | Kansas $60K | — | Kansas $338 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Gen.G | — | Gen.G $9.1K | Gen.G $45K | Gen.G $3.8K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia State $6 | Georgia State $7.8K | — | Georgia State $544 |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $2.9K | — | Washington $90K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | Tennessee $36K | — | Texas A&M $1.5K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $43 | Mavericks $31K | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $6.2K | Bilibili Gaming $23K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $310 | — | — | Nets $23K |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $22K | — | Under $118 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $1.4K | — | — | Nets $19K |
| Spread: Tennessee (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | Tennessee $18K | — | Texas A&M $275 |
| USC vs. Indiana opposite sides · consensus Indiana | USC $309 | Indiana $13K | — | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Wild $9.9K | — | Bruins $6 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $4.7K | — | Stanford $4.4K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $5.7K | — | Heat $782 |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | USC $2.5K | — | Indiana $3.2K |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $5.5K | — | Oilers $20 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $181 | — | Nets $5.2K |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.3K | — | Over $2.8K |
| Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $272 | — | — | Over $3.9K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Avalanche $2.4K | — | Canadiens $1.6K |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.5K | — | Over $1 |
| Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $584 | — | Under $2.4K |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | — | Tulane $584 | — | Rice $2.2K |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Blues | — | Blues $2.0K | — | Panthers $611 |
| Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $111 | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | Kentucky $1.2K | — | Florida $672 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $881 | — | Under $931 |
| UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Samuel Sanches | — | Samuel Sanches $435 | — | Evan Elder $1.3K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $127 | Mavericks $1.4K | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $685 | — | Over $802 |
| Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas | Northern Kentucky Norse $4 | Central Michigan Chippewas $1.4K | — | — |
| Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $199 | — | Over $1.2K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $880 | — | — | Mavericks $122 |
| Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers | Saint Joseph's Hawks $90 | Penn Quakers $846 | — | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | — | — | Oklahoma $516 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $94 | — | — | Timberwolves $545 |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Amanda Nunes | — | Kayla Harrison $200 | — | Amanda Nunes $376 |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | — | Liberty $538 | — | Middle Tennessee $36 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2 | — | — | Nets $544 |
| Nevada vs. Northern Illinois: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1 | — | Over $200 |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | — | Mississippi State $86 | — | Auburn $44 |
| Spread: Blackhawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | Jets $62 | Blackhawks $30 | — | — |
| Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears opposite sides · consensus California Golden Bears | — | California Golden Bears $6 | — | Utah Tech Trailblazers $8 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $5.4K | — | — | Nets $33K |