PolyConsensus

NBA: what top Polymarket traders hold

NBA games, series, awards and futures. These are the NBA markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.

A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.

Live consensus markets
27
Recently settled, consensus right
130 of 219
Prices as of
Oct 25, 07:19 UTC

Live NBA consensus markets (27)

Top traders in NBA

Tracked traders with 10 or more settled NBA consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.

  1. 1.RLWG+55 ptsside won 97% of 118 · avg entry 42¢ · ROI +9%
  2. 2.hedgevaultmainnet1+49 ptsside won 100% of 652 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +33%
  3. 3.Kettle+52 ptsside won 100% of 117 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +51%
  4. 4.impaul+53 ptsside won 100% of 74 · avg entry 47¢ · ROI +60%
  5. 5.timetowander+49 ptsside won 100% of 313 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +42%
  6. 6.sir-upalot+49 ptsside won 99% of 251 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +49%
  7. 7.forsenxd+49 ptsside won 100% of 161 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +48%
  8. 8.Basquetipster+48 ptsside won 100% of 356 · avg entry 52¢ · ROI +44%
  9. 9.0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738+49 ptsside won 99% of 184 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +50%
  10. 10.stochi+48 ptsside won 100% of 208 · avg entry 52¢ · ROI +48%

Recently settled NBA markets

What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.

Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.