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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (551–602, n=1153) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 55% (430–355, n=785) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $2.4K | $344K | $386K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #137 | PM monthly #128 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (82 of 132 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 56% (101 of 181 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 26% (won 100% of 6) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Gen.G $6.2K | Bilibili Gaming $23K | — | Gen.G $6.2K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Gen.G | Gen.G $9.1K | Gen.G $45K | Gen.G $3.8K | — |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | Michigan State $2.9K | — | Washington $90K | — |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Tennessee $36K | — | Texas A&M $1.5K | — |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $22K | — | Under $118 | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Tennessee $18K | — | Texas A&M $275 | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Wild $9.9K | — | Bruins $6 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $4.7K | — | Stanford $4.4K | — |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $940 | — | Florida $6.7K | — |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $19 | — | Yes $6.8K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $5.7K | — | Heat $782 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | USC $2.5K | — | Indiana $3.2K | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Oilers | Maple Leafs $5.5K | — | Oilers $20 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $181 | — | Nets $5.2K | — |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.3K | — | Over $2.8K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | Avalanche $2.4K | — | Canadiens $1.6K | — |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.5K | — | Over $1 | — |
| Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $584 | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | Tulane $584 | — | Rice $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Blues | Blues $2.0K | — | Panthers $611 | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Kentucky $1.2K | — | Florida $672 | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $881 | — | Under $931 | — |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | Blackhawks $1.8K | — | Jets $7 | — |
| UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Samuel Sanches | Samuel Sanches $435 | — | Evan Elder $1.3K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $685 | — | Over $802 | — |
| Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $121 | — | Over $1.2K | — |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Amanda Nunes | Kayla Harrison $200 | — | Amanda Nunes $376 | — |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | Liberty $538 | — | Middle Tennessee $36 | — |
| Nevada vs. Northern Illinois: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1 | — | Over $200 | — |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $96 | — | Yes $102 | — |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | Mississippi State $86 | — | Auburn $44 | — |
| Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears opposite sides · consensus California Golden Bears | California Golden Bears $6 | — | Utah Tech Trailblazers $8 | — |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus Kansas | Kansas $60K | — | Kansas $338 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $11K | — | Nets $17K | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $25K | — | Georgia State $531 | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | Stars $9.6K | — | Stars $15K | — |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) same side · consensus San Jose State | San Jose State $16K | — | San Jose State $853 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $15K | — | Over $521 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) same side · consensus Indiana | USC $15K | — | USC $2 | — |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Gen.G $8.5K | — | Gen.G $2.1K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — | Virginia Tech $2.8K | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia State $7.8K | — | Georgia State $544 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.3K | — | Over $748 | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues same side · consensus Blues | Blues $4.5K | — | Blues $519 | — |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | Under $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $254 | — | Georgia State $2.1K | — |
| UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Uroš Medic | Kevin Holland $213 | — | Kevin Holland $1.7K | — |
| UFC 334: Alatengheili vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) same side · consensus Juan Diaz | Alatengheili $101 | — | Alatengheili $966 | — |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | Boston College $53 | — | Boston College $879 | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks same side · consensus Islanders | Islanders $203 | — | Islanders $218 | — |