College Football: what top Polymarket traders hold
NCAA football games and futures. These are the College Football markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 2
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 160 of 316
- Prices as of
- Oct 25, 07:21 UTC
Live College Football consensus markets (2)
- Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Traders hold No 20%1 of 5 tradersMarket price 98¢$15K held
- Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Traders hold No 20%1 of 5 tradersMarket price 86¢$6K held
Top traders in College Football
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled College Football consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.RLWG+56 ptsside won 96% of 305 · avg entry 40¢ · ROI +54%
- 2.hedgevaultmainnet1+53 ptsside won 100% of 169 · avg entry 47¢ · ROI +53%
- 3.Rafifa+66 ptsside won 85% of 33 · avg entry 19¢ · ROI +68%
- 4.purplegatto+52 ptsside won 100% of 202 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +51%
- 5.JhonAlexanderHinestroza+52 ptsside won 100% of 268 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +52%
- 6.stochi+51 ptsside won 100% of 600 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +54%
- 7.0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731+49 ptsside won 100% of 460 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +47%
- 8.DOLLAR-PRINTER+49 ptsside won 99% of 473 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +49%
- 9.UpTheBlues+49 ptsside won 100% of 325 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +44%
- 10.forsenxd+52 ptsside won 100% of 85 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +46%
Recently settled College Football markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- UTSA vs. TulaneResult: UTSATraders held Tulane 50%consensus was wrong
- Spread: LSU (-6.5)Result: LSUTraders held LSU 40%consensus was right
- Spread: Clemson (-3.5)Result: ClemsonTraders held Clemson 80%consensus was right
- Houston vs. UtahResult: UtahTraders held Utah 59%consensus was right
- Spread: Utah (-6.5)Result: UtahTraders held Houston 58%consensus was wrong
- Houston vs. Utah: O/U 57.5Result: UnderTraders held Over 44%consensus was wrong
- Houston vs. Utah: O/U 39.5Result: UnderTraders held Under 58%consensus was right
- Spread: Utah (-7.5)Result: UtahTraders held Utah 82%consensus was right
- Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5Result: UnderTraders held Over 36%consensus was wrong
- Spread: Utah (-2.5)Result: UtahTraders held Houston 50%consensus was wrong
- Spread: Utah (-3.5)Result: UtahTraders held Houston 33%consensus was wrong
- Spread: Houston (-2.5)Result: UtahTraders held Utah 50%consensus was right
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.