Esports: what top Polymarket traders hold
Counter-Strike, League of Legends, Dota 2, Valorant and more. These are the Esports markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 36
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 38 of 61
- Prices as of
- Oct 25, 07:19 UTC
Live Esports consensus markets (36)
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTraders hold FUT Esports 60%12 of 20 tradersMarket price 73¢$145K held
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTraders hold BetBoom Team 60%12 of 20 tradersMarket price 59¢$70K held
- Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 100%14 of 14 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$15 heldagainst the market price
- Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 23%3 of 13 tradersMarket price 97¢$24K held
- Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 36¢$35K heldagainst the market price
- Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 17%2 of 12 tradersMarket price 87¢$21K held
- Will LOS win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 100%12 of 12 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$9 heldagainst the market price
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTraders hold Aurora Gaming 36%4 of 11 tradersMarket price 57¢$27K held
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 82%9 of 11 tradersMarket price 18¢$15K heldagainst the market price
- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 55%6 of 11 tradersMarket price 85¢$9K held
- Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 30%3 of 10 tradersMarket price 81¢$31K held
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Traders hold MOUZ 80%8 of 10 tradersMarket price 46¢$22K heldagainst the market price
- Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 100%10 of 10 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$5 heldagainst the market price
- Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 78%7 of 9 tradersMarket price 13¢$10K heldagainst the market price
- Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 11%1 of 9 tradersMarket price 100¢$192 held
- LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTraders hold G2 Esports 83%5 of 8 tradersMarket price 53¢$26K held
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Traders hold Liquid 63%5 of 8 tradersMarket price 57¢$6K held
- Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 100%8 of 8 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$1 heldagainst the market price
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)Traders hold Gen.G 43%3 of 7 tradersMarket price 69¢$43K held
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group ATraders hold OG 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 44¢$14K heldagainst the market price
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)Traders hold Spirit 71%5 of 7 tradersMarket price 67¢$7K held
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageTraders hold Team Liquid 71%5 of 7 tradersMarket price 31¢$788 heldagainst the market price
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTraders hold Spirit 83%5 of 6 tradersMarket price 91¢$39K held
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageTraders hold Dplus KIA 50%3 of 6 tradersMarket price 77¢$28K held
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTraders hold Vitality 100%6 of 6 tradersMarket price 82¢$26K held
- LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTraders hold T1 50%3 of 6 tradersMarket price 88¢$20K held
- Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?Traders hold No 17%1 of 6 tradersMarket price 98¢$4K held
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)Traders hold Vitality 83%5 of 6 tradersMarket price 55¢$3K held
- Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 33%2 of 6 tradersMarket price 14¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 100%6 of 6 tradersMarket price 0.9¢$310 heldagainst the market price
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)Traders hold DENDELE CS 40%2 of 5 tradersMarket price 56¢$18K held
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageTraders hold Gen.G 40%2 of 5 tradersMarket price 90¢$8K held
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTraders hold Bilibili Gaming 20%1 of 5 tradersMarket price 71¢$3K held
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 56¢$576 held
- Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 100%5 of 5 tradersMarket price 1.3¢$249 heldagainst the market price
- Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?Traders hold Yes 100%5 of 5 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$16 heldagainst the market price
Top traders in Esports
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Esports consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.stochi+62 ptsside won 100% of 58 · avg entry 38¢ · ROI +63%
- 2.4d9a879611D994FD9B56+59 ptsside won 99% of 142 · avg entry 40¢ · ROI +54%
- 3.0xAbF543512f33E2D754ada028a689610139Cccfeb-1760974401494+59 ptsside won 100% of 89 · avg entry 41¢ · ROI +61%
- 4.0xd6c1c24846e0187f38c74497620ad7e+55 ptsside won 100% of 504 · avg entry 45¢ · ROI +53%
- 5.BoomLaLa+60 ptsside won 100% of 48 · avg entry 40¢ · ROI +63%
- 6.65765757+54 ptsside won 99% of 263 · avg entry 45¢ · ROI +55%
- 7.pieped+56 ptsside won 100% of 80 · avg entry 44¢ · ROI +57%
- 8.CyberScore.live+53 ptsside won 99% of 322 · avg entry 45¢ · ROI +53%
- 9.0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569+52 ptsside won 100% of 455 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +52%
- 10.x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4+55 ptsside won 96% of 143 · avg entry 41¢ · ROI +48%
Recently settled Esports markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- Will Luminosity Win the CS2 EWC 2026?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageResult: Bilibili GamingTraders held Bilibili Gaming 62%consensus was right
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Result: UnderTraders held Under 65%consensus was right
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba PlayoffsResult: ImperialTraders held Imperial 38%consensus was right
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Result: UnderTraders held Over 64%consensus was wrong
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageResult: Dplus KIATraders held Dplus KIA 27%consensus was right
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group StageResult: Gen.GTraders held Hanwha Life Esports 36%consensus was wrong
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Result: OverTraders held Under 67%consensus was wrong
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship PlayoffsResult: Shopify Rebellion GoldTraders held SK Nebula 67%consensus was wrong
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SK Nebula - Map 2 WinnerResult: Shopify Rebellion GoldTraders held Shopify Rebellion Gold 57%consensus was right
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Result: OverTraders held Over 22%consensus was right
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Result: OverTraders held Under 50%consensus was wrong
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.