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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (451–385, n=836) | 48% (529–574, n=1103) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 55% (403–333, n=736) |
| Consensus PnL | $355K | $544K | $2.4K | $412K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #137 | PM monthly #128 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (151 of 239 open) | 64% (85 of 133 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 57% (103 of 182 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 26% (won 100% of 6) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
65 on the same side, 84 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | Michigan State $23K | Michigan State $2.8K | — | Washington $93K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Texas A&M $7.6K | Tennessee $34K | — | Texas A&M $1.4K |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | Georgia Southern $57 | Georgia State $29K | — | Georgia State $531 |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.7K | Over $23K | — | Under $123 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | USC $16K | — | USC $2 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | Grizzlies $183 | — | Nets $5.2K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern $3.5K | Georgia State $7.8K | — | Georgia State $863 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5.8K | Over $5.3K | — | Over $784 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $1.6K | Virginia Tech $4.7K | — | Stanford $4.4K |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Bruins $556 | Wild $9.9K | — | Bruins $6 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $5.2K | USC $3.1K | — | Indiana $1.6K |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.4K | Under $3.5K | — | Over $2 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $252 | Pistons $5.8K | — | Heat $766 |
| Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.5K | Under $270 | — | Over $1.9K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | Canadiens $26 | Avalanche $2.4K | — | Canadiens $1.6K |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | Rice $305 | Tulane $630 | — | Rice $2.2K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $539 | Over $908 | — | Under $931 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $201 | — | Islanders $216 |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | Blackhawks $83 | Blackhawks $1.8K | — | Jets $29 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $18 | Kentucky $1.2K | — | Florida $679 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $121 | Under $692 | — | Over $810 |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | Liberty $174 | Liberty $590 | — | Middle Tennessee $29 |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | Auburn $3 | Mississippi State $73 | — | Auburn $34 |
| Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears opposite sides · consensus California Golden Bears | Utah Tech Trailblazers $51 | California Golden Bears $6 | — | Utah Tech Trailblazers $8 |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus Kansas | Kansas $7.2K | Kansas $63K | — | Kansas $188 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Gen.G | — | Gen.G $9.1K | Gen.G $45K | Gen.G $4.9K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | — | Over $521 |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $41 | Under $1.4K | — | Under $2.9K |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $2.7K | Georgia State $287 | — | Georgia State $1.4K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | Boston College $2.4K | Boston College $42 | — | Boston College $745 |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6.8K | Under $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | Tennessee $18K | — | Texas A&M $277 |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $336 | Texas $15K | — | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $516 | — | — | Over $13K |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $212 | — | — | Under $13K |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K | — | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets $826 | Flyers $8.8K | — | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | — | — | Over $6.1K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $7.4K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.1K | Over $124 | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas A&M | Tennessee $7.2K | — | — | Texas A&M $452 |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | — | Kentucky $940 | — | Florida $6.7K |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $4.6K | — | Over $2.8K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $6.5K | — | — | Arkansas $733 |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $15 | — | Yes $6.8K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $4.7K | — | — | Pelicans $1.3K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.9K | Over $2.1K | — | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.1K | — | — | Over $1.9K |