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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)53% (16–14, n=30)48% (551–602, n=1153)54% (19–16, n=35)55% (430–355, n=785)
Consensus PnL$586K$482K$2.4K$344K
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #18PM monthly #137PM monthly #128
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)62% (81 of 131 open)100% (3 of 3 open)56% (101 of 180 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)36% (won 100% of 128)26% (won 100% of 6)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 175)57% (won 100% of 13)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 28)13% (won 100% of 3)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-nigiri99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $9.1KGen.G $45KGen.G $3.8K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $248KGen.G $6.2KBilibili Gaming $23K—
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $103KGen.G $8.5K—Gen.G $2.1K
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $2.9K—Washington $90K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Bilibili Gaming $53K——Gen.G $1.1K
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Tennessee $36K—Texas A&M $1.5K
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22K—Under $118
Spread: Tennessee (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Tennessee $18K—Texas A&M $275
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $9.9K—Bruins $6
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $4.7K—Stanford $4.4K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Kentucky $940—Florida $6.7K
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $19—Yes $6.8K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.7K—Heat $782
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $2.5K—Indiana $3.2K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $5.5K—Oilers $20
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $181—Nets $5.2K
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.3K—Over $2.8K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $2.4K—Canadiens $1.6K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.5K—Over $1
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $584—Under $2.4K
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
—Tulane $584—Rice $2.2K
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Blues $2.0K—Panthers $611
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Kentucky $1.2K—Florida $672
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $881—Under $931
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $1.8K—Jets $7
UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Samuel Sanches
—Samuel Sanches $435—Evan Elder $1.2K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $685—Over $802
Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $199—Over $1.2K
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Amanda Nunes
—Kayla Harrison $200—Amanda Nunes $376
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $538—Middle Tennessee $36
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $96—Yes $102
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Mississippi State $86—Auburn $44
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears
opposite sides · consensus California Golden Bears
—California Golden Bears $6—Utah Tech Trailblazers $8
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
—Kansas $60K—Kansas $338
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $11K—Nets $17K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $25K—Georgia State $531
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $9.5K—Stars $15K
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
—San Jose State $16K—San Jose State $853
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15K—Over $521
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—USC $15K—USC $2
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $6.4K—Virginia Tech $2.8K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $7.8K—Georgia State $544
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.3K—Over $748
Panthers vs. Blues
same side · consensus Blues
—Blues $4.5K—Blues $519
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $254—Georgia State $2.1K
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $647
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
—Kevin Holland $213—Kevin Holland $1.7K
UFC 334: Alatengheili vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
same side · consensus Juan Diaz
—Alatengheili $101—Alatengheili $966
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Boston College $53—Boston College $879
Islanders vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $203—Islanders $218