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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (529–574, n=1103) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 55% (403–333, n=736) |
| Consensus PnL | $544K | $318K | $2.4K | $412K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #137 | PM monthly #128 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (85 of 133 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 57% (103 of 182 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 6) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | Gen.G $9.1K | Bilibili Gaming $25 | Gen.G $45K | Gen.G $4.9K |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | Michigan State $2.8K | — | — | Washington $93K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Tennessee $34K | — | — | Texas A&M $1.4K |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $23K | — | — | Under $123 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Tennessee $18K | — | — | Texas A&M $277 |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Wild $9.9K | — | — | Bruins $6 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $4.7K | — | — | Stanford $4.4K |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $940 | — | — | Florida $6.7K |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4.6K | — | — | Over $2.8K |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $15 | — | — | Yes $6.8K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $5.8K | — | — | Heat $766 |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Oilers | Maple Leafs $5.5K | — | — | Oilers $20 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $183 | — | — | Nets $5.2K |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | USC $3.1K | — | — | Indiana $1.6K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | Avalanche $2.4K | — | — | Canadiens $1.6K |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.5K | — | — | Over $2 |
| Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.0K | — | — | Under $2.4K |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | Tulane $630 | — | — | Rice $2.2K |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Blues | Blues $2.0K | — | — | Panthers $622 |
| Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $270 | — | — | Over $1.9K |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Kentucky $1.2K | — | — | Florida $679 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $908 | — | — | Under $931 |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | Blackhawks $1.8K | — | — | Jets $29 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $692 | — | — | Over $810 |
| UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Samuel Sanches | Samuel Sanches $431 | — | — | Evan Elder $1.1K |
| Boston College vs. Notre Dame opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | Boston College $5 | — | — | Notre Dame $1.1K |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | Liberty $590 | — | — | Middle Tennessee $29 |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Amanda Nunes | Kayla Harrison $198 | — | — | Amanda Nunes $376 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $90 | — | — | Yes $83 |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | Mississippi State $73 | — | — | Auburn $34 |
| Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears opposite sides · consensus California Golden Bears | California Golden Bears $6 | — | — | Utah Tech Trailblazers $8 |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus Kansas | Kansas $63K | — | — | Kansas $188 |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $29K | — | — | Georgia State $531 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $11K | — | — | Nets $17K |
| Sabres vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | Stars $9.6K | — | — | Stars $15K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Gen.G | Gen.G $23K | — | — | Gen.G $1.1K |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) same side · consensus San Jose State | San Jose State $16K | — | — | San Jose State $853 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) same side · consensus Indiana | USC $16K | — | — | USC $2 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $15K | — | — | Over $521 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — | — | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Gen.G $5.9K | — | — | Gen.G $3.1K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia State $7.8K | — | — | Georgia State $863 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.3K | — | — | Over $784 |
| Panthers vs. Blues same side · consensus Blues | Blues $4.5K | — | — | Blues $514 |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | — | Under $2.9K |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Gen.G $1.7K | — | — | Gen.G $771 |
| UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Uroš Medic | Kevin Holland $210 | — | — | Kevin Holland $1.7K |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $287 | — | — | Georgia State $1.4K |
| UFC 334: Alatengheili vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) same side · consensus Juan Diaz | Alatengheili $96 | — | — | Alatengheili $941 |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | Boston College $42 | — | — | Boston College $745 |