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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| djstellen | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $482K | $512K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #710 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #18 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (149 of 267 open) | 53% (79 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 6% (won 100% of 20) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 36% (won 100% of 128) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 175) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 8% (won 100% of 28) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | djstellen | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Timberwolves $92 | Bulls $63K |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Penguins | — | Senators $140 | Penguins $32K |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Blues $1 | Panthers $25K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.0K | Under $21K |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | — | Capitals $75 | Devils $16K |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | — | Sabres $373 | Stars $9.3K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $4.2K | Timberwolves $3.1K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $573 | Nets $6.0K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $434 | Pistons $5.2K |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | — | Blue Jackets $47 | Flyers $5.1K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $134 | Avalanche $4.0K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $350 | Nets $3.4K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | Arkansas $1.1K | South Carolina $2.1K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $259 | Over $2.7K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $412 | Nets $1.2K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $594 | Mavericks $781 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $84 | Under $993 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $240 | Cavaliers $756 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $16 | Under $945 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $334 | Under $581 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $767 | Nuggets $3 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $619 | Over $2 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $565 | Mavericks $2 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $88 | Over $447 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $54 | Nets $465 |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $205 | Oilers $204 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $397 | Timberwolves $11 |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | Over $308 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $292 | Nuggets $8 |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $238 | Over $47 |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $211 | Under $14 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $132 | Over $7 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $105 |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $105 | Over $1 |
| Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $93 | Over $8 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5 | Under $3 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $9.5K | Cavaliers $133K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $3.2K | Over $26K |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Utah | — | Arizona $23 | Arizona $21K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $5.6K | Nuggets $14K |
| Wild vs. Bruins same side · consensus Wild | — | Wild $16 | Wild $17K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $2.5K | Over $12K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.6K | Over $9.1K |
| Senators vs. Penguins same side · consensus Senators | — | Penguins $104 | Penguins $11K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $293 | Heat $5.9K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $408 | Over $5.7K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.6K | Over $409 |
| Spread: Devils (-1.5) same side · consensus Capitals | — | Capitals $43 | Capitals $3.3K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $3.0K | Cavaliers $106 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $950 | Grizzlies $291 |