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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
djstellenFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2619–1078, n=3697)48% (600–648, n=1248)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL—$482K$512K$769K
Tracked asPM monthly #710PM monthly #10PM monthly #18was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (134 of 248 open)53% (72 of 137 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdjstellenFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $14KNuggets $20K—
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Senators $136Penguins $32K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $75Devils $16K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $155Mavericks $11K—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $233Stars $9.3K—
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan
—Luis Gurule $40Bilal Hasan $7.9K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.5KTimberwolves $3.1K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $615Nets $6.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434Pistons $5.2K—
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Blue Jackets $8Flyers $5.1K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $350Nets $3.4K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $1.1KSouth Carolina $1.7K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $412Nets $1.4K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $550Mavericks $781—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $404Under $581—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $686Mavericks $2—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $649Over $2—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $560—
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $205Oilers $204—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $300Timberwolves $11—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $308—
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $254Over $47—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $132Over $7—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $5Nets $125—
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $93Over $8—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $40Under $14—
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Oilers $5Maple Leafs $6—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5Under $3—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $15KCavaliers $133K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $860Bulls $63K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.3KOver $26K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Arizona $21K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $6.6KTimberwolves $14K—
Wild vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Wild
—Wild $16Wild $17K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.0KOver $12K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5KOver $8.7K—
Senators vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Senators
—Penguins $119Penguins $11K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
same side · consensus Blue Jackets
—Flyers $13Flyers $9.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $293Heat $7.0K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $963Over $6.3K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $6.1KCavaliers $106—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.6KOver $413—
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
same side · consensus Capitals
—Capitals $43Capitals $3.3K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KOver $233—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $935Grizzlies $291—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $325Mavericks $448—
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
same side · consensus Avalanche
—Avalanche $4Avalanche $612—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $604Over $6—
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $373Nets $52—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $393Heat $9—