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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
djstellenfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)48% (600–648, n=1248)
Consensus PnL—$795K$482K$512K
Tracked asPM monthly #710PM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position54% (151 of 281 open)52% (78 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdjstellenfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
——Timberwolves $92Bulls $63K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
——Senators $140Penguins $32K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $10KNuggets $20K
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Blues $1Panthers $25K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.9KUnder $21K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
——Capitals $75Devils $16K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
——Sabres $403Stars $9.3K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $4.2KTimberwolves $3.1K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $573Nets $6.0K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Heat $434Pistons $5.2K
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
——Blue Jackets $11Flyers $5.1K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
——Canadiens $134Avalanche $4.0K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $350Nets $3.4K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
——Arkansas $1.1KSouth Carolina $2.0K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $259Over $2.7K
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $412Nets $1.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $585Mavericks $781
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $27Under $988
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Mavericks $240Cavaliers $756
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $7Under $945
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $334Under $581
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $785Nuggets $3
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $632Over $2
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $616Mavericks $2
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $88Over $447
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $54Nets $465
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
——Maple Leafs $205Oilers $204
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
——Bulls $384Timberwolves $11
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $308Nuggets $8
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $308
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $255Over $47
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $132Over $7
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $5Nets $108
Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $105Over $1
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $88Under $14
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $93Over $8
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
——Oilers $5Maple Leafs $6
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $5Under $3
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $11KCavaliers $133K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $2.8KOver $26K
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
——Arizona $23Arizona $21K
Wild vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Wild
——Wild $16Wild $17K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $562Nuggets $14K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.4KOver $8.7K
Senators vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Senators
——Penguins $162Penguins $11K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $76Mavericks $11K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
same side · consensus Blue Jackets
——Flyers $4Flyers $9.6K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $293Heat $5.9K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $435Over $5.7K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4.7KOver $413