Back to Traders
82
No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #146 · holds 19 consensus positions
0x821dab05...e01acf16Polymarket
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #146
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
Top consensus positions
19 in listed consensus markets · 14 of 19 on the consensus side (74%)- Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Grizzlies $4.1K · now 74¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (54% of 17)
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers $2.7K · now 99¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (40% of 7)
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 234.5Under $2.0K · now 87¢ · in at 49¢against the consensus (Over)
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 242.5Under $1.5K · now 82¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (71% of 8)
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over $1.4K · now 99¢ · in at 67¢with the consensus (43% of 7)
- Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 238.5Under $1.3K · now 71¢ · in at 74¢against the consensus (Over)
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysMilwaukee Brewers $1.2K · now 100¢ · in at 68¢with the consensus (52% of 31)
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 242.5Under $1.2K · now 93¢ · in at 44¢with the consensus (71% of 9)
Specialties
46 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 45¢- Soccer
+44 pts
side won 88% of 43 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +39%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 17%(won 38% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 28%(won 100% of 13)
- 50–70¢: 46%(won 100% of 21)
- 70¢ and up: 9%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.