Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)53% (481–419, n=900)48% (558–608, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$23K$363K$515K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #7PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)63% (144 of 227 open)60% (78 of 130 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbbcvvcbvHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.8KUSC $28K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia Southern $57Georgia State $25K
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8.4KUnder $7.0K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $336Texas $15K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $13K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $7.4KArkansas $6.7K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $8.8K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia Southern $6.8KGeorgia State $5.0K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.6KOver $5.6K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $544Wild $10K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Liberty $2.2KMiddle Tennessee $7.3K
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $5Pelicans $9.0K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.1KOver $121
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $5.1KPistons $2.3K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $866Virginia Tech $6.4K
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.0KUSC $4.5K
USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $4.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $2.1KMavericks $1.7K
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kansas
—West Virginia $81Kansas $3.6K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.4K
Spread: Washington (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $2Washington $2.3K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $203
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $229Under $933
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $18Kentucky $1.1K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $122Under $692
Spread: Oregon (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan
—Oregon $74Michigan $484
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Auburn $6Mississippi State $17
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
—Kansas $14KKansas $65K
Spread: Texas State (-9.5)
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $15KTexas State $22K
Washington vs. Michigan State
same side · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $32KMichigan State $4.3K
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5KOver $22K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.2KOver $15K
Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico State
—New Mexico State $2.7KNew Mexico State $15K
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Lightning $783Lightning $10K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.4KUnder $3.5K
Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5)
same side · consensus Marshall
—Marshall $4.6KMarshall $2.9K
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $704New Mexico $6.5K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.6K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $252Pistons $5.7K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $2.5KGeorgia State $935
Spread: Nevada (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nevada
—Nevada $201Nevada $3.0K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $2.1KGeorgia State $203
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Boston College $2.2KBoston College $51
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $121Blackhawks $1.8K
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-17.5)
same side · consensus Louisiana Tech
—Southern Miss $40Southern Miss $1.7K
Spread: Providence Friars (-11.5)
same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Colorado Buffaloes $50Colorado Buffaloes $1.5K