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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)52% (16–15, n=31)53% (481–419, n=900)48% (558–608, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$23K$795K$363K$515K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #39PM monthly #7PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 2 open)64% (147 of 230 open)60% (81 of 134 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbbcvvcbvfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Gen.G $10KBilibili Gaming $92K——
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.8KUSC $28K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia State
——Georgia Southern $57Georgia State $25K
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $8.4KUnder $7.0K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
——LSU $336Texas $15K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KOver $12K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $7.4KArkansas $6.7K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
——Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $8.8K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.6KOver $5.6K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Bruins $544Wild $10K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
——Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee
——Liberty $2.2KMiddle Tennessee $7.3K
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $5Pelicans $9.0K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.1KOver $121
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $866Virginia Tech $6.4K
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.0KUSC $4.5K
USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2Under $4.2K
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
——San Francisco Dons $1.4KPortland State Vikings $2.6K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $2.1KMavericks $1.7K
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kansas
——West Virginia $81Kansas $3.6K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.4K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.9KIslanders $203
Spread: Washington (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Michigan State $2Washington $1.9K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $229Under $933
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
——Florida $18Kentucky $1.1K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $122Under $692
Spread: Oregon (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan
——Oregon $74Michigan $484
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
——Auburn $6Mississippi State $17
Spread: Texas State (-9.5)
same side · consensus Texas State
——Texas State $15KTexas State $22K
Washington vs. Michigan State
same side · consensus Washington
——Michigan State $32KMichigan State $4.3K
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.5KOver $22K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9.2KOver $15K
Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico State
——New Mexico State $2.7KNew Mexico State $15K
Oregon State vs. Boise State
same side · consensus Oregon State
——Boise State $10KBoise State $620
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
——Lightning $783Lightning $10K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $5.1KHeat $4.7K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.4KUnder $3.5K
Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5)
same side · consensus Marshall
——Marshall $4.6KMarshall $2.9K
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $704New Mexico $6.5K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
same side · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $7.0K—Bilibili Gaming $174
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Stanford
——Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.6K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $252Pistons $5.7K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
——Georgia State $2.5KGeorgia State $935
Spread: Nevada (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nevada
——Nevada $201Nevada $3.0K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
——Georgia State $2.1KGeorgia State $203
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
——Boston College $2.2KBoston College $51
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
——Blackhawks $121Blackhawks $1.8K