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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)53% (481–419, n=900)48% (558–608, n=1166)55% (433–356, n=789)
Consensus PnL$23K$363K$515K$365K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #7PM monthly #18PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)64% (147 of 230 open)60% (81 of 135 open)56% (104 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

61 on the same side, 80 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbbcvvcbvHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $32KMichigan State $4.3KWashington $80K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.8KUSC $28KUSC $3
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.5KOver $22KUnder $118
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia Southern $57Georgia State $25KGeorgia State $843
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KOver $12KUnder $434
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $7.4KArkansas $6.7KArkansas $740
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.6KOver $5.6KOver $784
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
—Boise State $10KBoise State $620Oregon State $934
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $544Wild $10KBruins $6
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.6KStanford $4.4K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $866Virginia Tech $6.4KVirginia Tech $2.8K
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $5Pelicans $9.0KNuggets $565
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.4KUnder $3.5KOver $1
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.0KUSC $4.5KIndiana $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $252Pistons $5.7KHeat $782
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.4KCanadiens $1.6K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $529Over $881Under $931
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $203Islanders $218
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $121Blackhawks $1.8KJets $8
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $122Under $692Over $794
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $178Liberty $587Middle Tennessee $7
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Auburn $6Mississippi State $17Auburn $56
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.2KOver $15KOver $521
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $5.1KHeat $4.7KHeat $3.2K
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $45Under $1.5KUnder $3.5K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $2.1KGeorgia State $203Georgia State $1.7K
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Boston College $2.2KBoston College $51Boston College $879
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears
same side · consensus Utah Tech Trailblazers
—Utah Tech Trailblazers $228Utah Tech Trailblazers $304Utah Tech Trailblazers $39
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $18KBulls $17K
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Panthers $19KBlues $199
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
——Kentucky $8.8KFlorida $7.3K
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $174—Under $15K
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8.4KUnder $7.0K—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $336Texas $15K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $8.8K—
UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Bia Mesquita
——Bia Mesquita $13KMacy Chiasson $138
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K—
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Liberty $2.2KMiddle Tennessee $7.3K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $6.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $221—Over $8.4K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.1KOver $121—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $60Yes $7.3K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9K—Over $1.9K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $1.1K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
——Maple Leafs $5.5KOilers $20
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.6K—Under $3.8K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $106—Heat $5.2K