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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)53% (481–419, n=900)48% (558–608, n=1166)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$23K$363K$515K$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #7PM monthly #18was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)64% (147 of 231 open)60% (81 of 135 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbbcvvcbvHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $174Gen.G $383K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $1.1KBilibili Gaming $91K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.8KUSC $28K—
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia Southern $57Georgia State $25K—
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8.4KUnder $7.0K—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $336Texas $15K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KOver $12K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $7.4KArkansas $6.7K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $8.8K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.6KOver $5.6K—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $544Wild $10K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K—
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Liberty $2.2KMiddle Tennessee $7.3K—
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $5Pelicans $9.0K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.1KOver $121—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $866Virginia Tech $6.4K—
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.0KUSC $4.5K—
USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $4.2K—
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
—San Francisco Dons $1.4KPortland State Vikings $2.6K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $2.1KMavericks $1.7K—
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kansas
—West Virginia $81Kansas $3.6K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.4K—
Spread: Washington (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $2Washington $2.2K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $203—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $229Under $933—
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $18Kentucky $1.1K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $122Under $692—
Spread: Oregon (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan
—Oregon $74Michigan $484—
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Manhattan Jaspers
—Le Moyne Dolphins $109Manhattan Jaspers $2—
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Auburn $6Mississippi State $17—
Spread: Texas State (-9.5)
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $15KTexas State $22K—
Washington vs. Michigan State
same side · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $32KMichigan State $4.3K—
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5KOver $22K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.2KOver $15K—
Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico State
—New Mexico State $2.7KNew Mexico State $15K—
Oregon State vs. Boise State
same side · consensus Oregon State
—Boise State $10KBoise State $620—
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Lightning $783Lightning $10K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $5.1KHeat $4.7K—
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.4KUnder $3.5K—
Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5)
same side · consensus Marshall
—Marshall $4.6KMarshall $2.9K—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $704New Mexico $6.5K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $6.2KGen.G $621
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $252Pistons $5.7K—
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $2.5KGeorgia State $935—
Spread: Nevada (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nevada
—Nevada $201Nevada $3.0K—
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $2.1KGeorgia State $203—