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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)53% (481–419, n=900)48% (558–608, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$23K$501K$363K$515K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #13PM monthly #7PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)47% (81 of 174 open)64% (147 of 230 open)60% (81 of 135 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbbcvvcbvFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $358Under $8.1KOver $121
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $75Cavaliers $2.1KMavericks $1.7K
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $153Penn Quakers $880
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $121Blackhawks $121Blackhawks $1.8K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $50—Mavericks $38K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.8KUSC $28K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia State
——Georgia Southern $57Georgia State $25K
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $309—Indiana $22K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $13KCavaliers $6.5K—
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $8.4KUnder $7.0K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
——LSU $336Texas $15K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KOver $12K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $7.4KArkansas $6.7K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
——Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $8.8K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $3.2K—Kentucky $8.8K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.6KOver $5.6K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $155—Nets $11K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Bruins $544Wild $10K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
——Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee
——Liberty $2.2KMiddle Tennessee $7.3K
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $5Pelicans $9.0K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $866Virginia Tech $6.4K
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.0KUSC $4.5K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $10Cavaliers $5.0K—
USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2Under $4.2K
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
——San Francisco Dons $1.4KPortland State Vikings $2.6K
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kansas
——West Virginia $81Kansas $3.6K
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $3.0K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.4K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.9KIslanders $203
Spread: Washington (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Michigan State $2Washington $1.9K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $229Under $933
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
——Florida $18Kentucky $1.1K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $637South Carolina $258—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $122Under $692
Spread: Oregon (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan
——Oregon $74Michigan $484
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $167—Over $259
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
—San Francisco Dons $33Portland State Vikings $337—
South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4Under $286—
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Colorado Buffaloes $229Providence Friars $3—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108Under $65—
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
—San Francisco Dons $92Portland State Vikings $52—
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Providence Friars $125—Colorado Buffaloes $3
Spread: Providence Friars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars
—Colorado Buffaloes $99Providence Friars $3—
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
——Auburn $6Mississippi State $17
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2Nets $11—
Spread: Texas State (-9.5)
same side · consensus Texas State
——Texas State $15KTexas State $22K