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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 48% (446–481, n=927) | 54% (345–290, n=635) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $410K | $521K | $403K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 51% (109 of 215 open) | 51% (40 of 78 open) | 54% (62 of 115 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 37% (won 100% of 110) | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $1.5K | Rangers $39K | Canucks $29 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $477 | Trail Blazers $31K | Kings $2.4K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $242 | Kings $22K | Trail Blazers $1.6K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $505 | Over $17K | Under $116 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $8.2K | Warriors $241 | Spurs $8.3K |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $333 | Golden Knights $11K | Golden Knights $79 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $133 | Under $4 | Over $3.2K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $789 | Over $2 | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.2K | Clippers $384 | Thunder $49 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | Under $23 | Under $13 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Under $50K | Under $1.8K |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | Rangers $221 | Rangers $35K | Rangers $1.2K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.1K | Spurs $24K | Spurs $2.1K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $585 | Clippers $943 | Clippers $9.6K |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $560 | Spurs $746 | Spurs $9.6K |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $369 | Jazz $823 | Jazz $1.7K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers same side · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $1.6K | Clippers $308 | Clippers $488 |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.8K | Jazz $10 | Jazz $51 |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $86 | Predators $3 | Predators $458 |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $699 | Houston $9.0K |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $4.6K | — | Rockets $191 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | — | Georgia State $6 | — | Georgia Southern $2.7K |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny | — | August Holmgren $1.6K | Sebastian Gorzny $630 | — |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $460 | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $214 | Rockets $1.4K | — |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $366 |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $847 | Over $344 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $336 | Clippers $628 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $801 | Under $21 | — |
| Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide | — | Alabama Crimson Tide $703 | Seton Hall Pirates $83 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Trail Blazers $130 | — | Kings $627 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $290 | — | Yes $362 |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $608 | Warriors $2 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $308 | — | Over $182 |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $446 | — | Clippers $12 |
| Spread: Kings (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $56 | — | Trail Blazers $395 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | — | Jazz $372 | Rockets $24 |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | — | Saint Mary's Gaels $328 | UIC Flames $2 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $17 | — | Spurs $259 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $160 | — | Thunder $10 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $96 | Trail Blazers $17 | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $79 | — | Over $11 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Under $81 |
| Spread: Rockets (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $56 | Jazz $6 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-37.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $6 | — | Jazz $45 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3 | Under $1 |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) same side · consensus UCLA | — | — | UCLA $21K | UCLA $1.5K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Under $2.4K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $5.4K | Over $305 |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.9K | Jazz $1.1K | — |