Soccer: what top Polymarket traders hold
Football leagues and cups worldwide: matches, spreads, totals and titles. These are the Soccer markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 174
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 786 of 1086
- Prices as of
- Oct 25, 07:19 UTC
Live Soccer consensus markets (174)
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 73%54 of 75 tradersMarket price 72¢$1.2M held
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 54%27 of 52 tradersMarket price 10¢$290K heldagainst the market price
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold No 36%17 of 47 tradersMarket price 84¢$432K held
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold No 49%18 of 37 tradersMarket price 99¢$279K held
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 86%25 of 29 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Traders hold No 67%16 of 26 tradersMarket price 54¢$405K held
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold No 28%7 of 25 tradersMarket price 100¢$112K held
- Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 96%24 of 25 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%25 of 25 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$294 heldagainst the market price
- Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold No 4%1 of 24 tradersMarket price 100¢$2K held
- Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%21 of 21 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$242 heldagainst the market price
- Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%20 of 20 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$306 heldagainst the market price
- Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%20 of 20 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$214 heldagainst the market price
- Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%19 of 19 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$233 heldagainst the market price
- Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 95%18 of 19 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$179 heldagainst the market price
- Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Traders hold Mbappé 44%8 of 18 tradersMarket price 75¢$120K held
- Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%18 of 18 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$147 heldagainst the market price
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?Traders hold No 44%7 of 17 tradersMarket price 69¢$102K held
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 69%11 of 17 tradersMarket price 74¢$96K held
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Traders hold No 82%14 of 17 tradersMarket price 94¢$49K held
- Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold No 18%3 of 17 tradersMarket price 100¢$2K held
- Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%17 of 17 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$170 heldagainst the market price
- Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%16 of 16 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$169 heldagainst the market price
- Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%15 of 15 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$195 heldagainst the market price
- Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold No 36%5 of 14 tradersMarket price 100¢$13K held
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold Yes 15%2 of 13 tradersMarket price 59¢$262K held
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold No 15%2 of 13 tradersMarket price 83¢$158K held
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold Yes 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 66¢$496K held
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 25%3 of 12 tradersMarket price 25¢$57K heldagainst the market price
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 18%2 of 11 tradersMarket price 64¢$74K held
- Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 45%5 of 11 tradersMarket price 98¢$42K held
- Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold No 55%6 of 11 tradersMarket price 88¢$16K held
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold Yes 50%5 of 11 tradersMarket price 81¢$7K held
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold No 70%7 of 10 tradersMarket price 88¢$510K held
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 10%1 of 10 tradersMarket price 48¢$70K heldagainst the market price
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold Yes 50%5 of 10 tradersMarket price 59¢$68K held
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold Yes 80%8 of 10 tradersMarket price 14¢$41K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Traders hold Real Madrid CF 78%7 of 10 tradersMarket price 61¢$34K held
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 100%10 of 10 tradersMarket price 64¢$16K held
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 70%7 of 10 tradersMarket price 95¢$2K held
- Will Erling Haaland finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold No 10%1 of 10 tradersMarket price 100¢$342 held
- Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold No 33%3 of 9 tradersMarket price 95¢$60K held
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Traders hold Yes 78%7 of 9 tradersMarket price 83¢$59K held
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Traders hold Under 43%3 of 9 tradersMarket price 46¢$50K heldagainst the market price
- Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold No 33%3 of 9 tradersMarket price 90¢$45K held
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold Yes 33%2 of 9 tradersMarket price 71¢$17K held
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Traders hold Over 50%4 of 9 tradersMarket price 55¢$15K held
- Will William Saliba finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.5¢$16 heldagainst the market price
- Will Dayot Upamecano finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.4¢$13 heldagainst the market price
- Will Nuno Mendes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.3¢$8 heldagainst the market price
- Will Jude Bellingham finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Declan Rice finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Vitinha finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Luis Diaz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Willian Pacho finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Lautaro Martinez finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Achraf Hakimi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Julián Quiñones finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Bruno Fernandes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Ferran Torres finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Marc Cucurella finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will João Neves finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Marquinhos finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Sadio Mané finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Vinícius Júnior finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 100%9 of 9 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$2 heldagainst the market price
- Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold Yes 75%6 of 8 tradersMarket price 7.5¢$63K heldagainst the market price
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 38%3 of 8 tradersMarket price 59¢$49K held
- Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 50%4 of 8 tradersMarket price 92¢$37K held
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold Yes 13%1 of 8 tradersMarket price 53¢$11K held
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 88%7 of 8 tradersMarket price 67¢$8K held
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Traders hold Over 50%4 of 8 tradersMarket price 70¢$7K held
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Traders hold TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 88%7 of 8 tradersMarket price 74¢$6K held
- Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 50%4 of 8 tradersMarket price 93¢$6K held
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 63%5 of 8 tradersMarket price 51¢$5K held
- Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 71%5 of 8 tradersMarket price 32¢$587 heldagainst the market price
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold Yes 38%3 of 8 tradersMarket price 69¢$505 held
- Will Dani Olmo (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Traders hold Yes 100%8 of 8 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$3 heldagainst the market price
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Traders hold Under 43%3 of 7 tradersMarket price 55¢$233K held
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold No 29%2 of 7 tradersMarket price 55¢$149K held
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold Yes 14%1 of 7 tradersMarket price 31¢$78K heldagainst the market price
- Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold Yes 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 94¢$42K held
- Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5Traders hold Over 29%2 of 7 tradersMarket price 52¢$36K held
- Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Traders hold No 29%2 of 7 tradersMarket price 84¢$23K held
- Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Traders hold Yes 71%5 of 7 tradersMarket price 4.0¢$22K heldagainst the market price
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Traders hold No 71%5 of 7 tradersMarket price 77¢$20K held
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Traders hold Over 29%2 of 7 tradersMarket price 56¢$18K held
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreTraders hold No 86%6 of 7 tradersMarket price 24¢$15K heldagainst the market price
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?Traders hold Yes 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 73¢$15K held
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5Traders hold Under 33%2 of 7 tradersMarket price 25¢$13K heldagainst the market price
Showing the 100 markets with the most traders of 174; the markets page has them all.
Top traders in Soccer
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Soccer consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.0xC576775EF9167dDc38ee6a4E537545ab73d0b9d2-1789288093603+63 ptsside won 100% of 89 · avg entry 37¢ · ROI +64%
- 2.RNGUzi+66 ptsside won 100% of 22 · avg entry 34¢ · ROI +65%
- 3.0xc19bfa088afd85a8a9a90b46e4489c6d85d1b1f9+56 ptsside won 100% of 54 · avg entry 44¢ · ROI +80%
- 4.acm24+54 ptsside won 85% of 244 · avg entry 31¢ · ROI +14%
- 5.hedgevaultmainnet1+49 ptsside won 100% of 481 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +45%
- 6.Seutervoinen+49 ptsside won 100% of 251 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +49%
- 7.Maplesky+50 ptsside won 100% of 138 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +51%
- 8.0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738+49 ptsside won 98% of 361 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +49%
- 9.KaneAnalytics+50 ptsside won 100% of 117 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +49%
- 10.COMEONDUDE+52 ptsside won 92% of 119 · avg entry 40¢ · ROI +53%
Recently settled Soccer markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- Exact Score: Pumas de la UNAM 3 - 3 Tigres de la UANL?Result: NoTraders held No 100%consensus was right
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-24?Result: NoTraders held Yes 25%consensus was wrong
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?Result: YesTraders held Yes 30%consensus was right
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-10-24?Result: NoTraders held No 67%consensus was right
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Result: UnderTraders held Under 67%consensus was right
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreResult: YesTraders held Yes 100%consensus was right
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 0.5Result: OverTraders held Over 50%consensus was right
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Result: UnderTraders held Under 67%consensus was right
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Result: UnderTraders held Over 100%consensus was wrong
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Result: OverTraders held Over 89%consensus was right
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Result: Tigres de la UANLTraders held Pumas de la UNAM 50%consensus was wrong
- Will Alacranes de Durango win on 2026-10-24?Result: NoTraders held No 100%consensus was right
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.