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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188fantasy7788Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | ilyho | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $362K | $19K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (148 of 266 open) | 63% (117 of 186 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | ilyho |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.0K | Under $32K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.6K | Nets $9.1K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.2K | Under $8.4K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $228 | Cavaliers $11K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $90 | Cavaliers $9.4K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.5K | Under $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $199 | Pelicans $5.4K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $408 | Under $5.1K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $84 | Under $2.0K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $88 | Over $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $292 | Nuggets $586 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $239 | Over $405 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $54 | Under $549 | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6 | Under $591 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | Pistons $199 | — |
| Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons | Little Rock Trojans $4 | Northwestern State Demons $530 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $29 | Over $445 | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11 | Under $452 | — |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Red Wings | Red Wings $77 | Lightning $218 | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Utah $231 | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | Over $241 | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | Montana Grizzlies $21 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219 | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Wild $16 | Bruins $70 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $54 | Nets $15 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $24 | Under $25 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $4 | Pistons $9 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $8 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $9.8K | Cavaliers $41K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $950 | Grizzlies $25K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens same side · consensus Canadiens | Canadiens $134 | Canadiens $14K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $31 | Under $13K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $137 | Under $11K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $2.0K | Cavaliers $8.3K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $900 | Cavaliers $8.1K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | Heat $7.4K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $259 | Under $7.4K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $565 | Cavaliers $6.7K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $594 | Cavaliers $6.2K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $293 | Heat $6.0K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.2K | Bulls $2.0K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | Under $4.4K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $208 | Over $4.7K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.6K | Over $1.2K | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $139 | Under $4.2K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $238 | Under $2.9K | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $238 | Under $2.8K | — |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning same side · consensus Lightning | Red Wings $154 | Red Wings $2.3K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues same side · consensus Panthers | Panthers $11 | Panthers $1.7K | — |