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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | ilyho | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $362K | $19K | $512K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #18 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (151 of 281 open) | 62% (118 of 189 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 52% (78 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — | 6% (won 100% of 20) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | — | 36% (won 100% of 128) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | — | 50% (won 100% of 175) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | — | 8% (won 100% of 28) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
61 on the same side, 80 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | ilyho | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.9K | Under $32K | — | Under $21K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $10K | Pelicans $18K | — | Nuggets $20K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.8K | Under $8.4K | — | Over $26K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $77 | Cavaliers $15K | — | Mavericks $11K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Utah $231 | — | Arizona $21K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | Canadiens $36 | Canadiens $14K | — | Avalanche $4.0K |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Wild $16 | Bruins $70 | — | Wild $17K |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $75 | Capitals $894 | — | Devils $16K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | Heat $7.4K | — | Pistons $5.2K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $435 | Under $5.1K | — | Over $5.7K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $259 | Under $7.4K | — | Over $2.7K |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | Flyers $4 | Blue Jackets $796 | — | Flyers $9.6K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $90 | Cavaliers $9.4K | — | Mavericks $448 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.4K | Bulls $2.0K | — | Timberwolves $3.1K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $585 | Cavaliers $6.2K | — | Mavericks $781 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $616 | Cavaliers $6.7K | — | Mavericks $2 |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $255 | Under $2.8K | — | Over $47 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $27 | Under $2.0K | — | Under $988 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $88 | Over $1.2K | — | Over $447 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $7 | Under $25 | — | Under $945 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $308 | Nuggets $586 | — | Nuggets $8 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $239 | Over $405 | — | Under $11 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | Pistons $199 | — | Heat $9 |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | Over $241 | — | Over $308 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $54 | Nets $15 | — | Nets $465 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $8 | — | Nets $108 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $11K | Cavaliers $48K | — | Cavaliers $133K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $950 | Grizzlies $25K | — | Grizzlies $291 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.4K | Over $1.2K | — | Over $8.7K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $293 | Heat $6.0K | — | Heat $5.9K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $278 | Under $910 | — | Under $9 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $44 | Under $432 | — | Under $5 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Timberwolves $43 | — | — | Bulls $63K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | — | Florida Atlantic $811 | — | Tulsa $40K |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Penguins | Senators $140 | — | — | Penguins $32K |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Blues $1 | — | — | Panthers $25K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $9.1K | — | Timberwolves $14K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.7K | — | Over $19K |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $867 | — | Under $16K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.6K | — | Over $12K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $3.8K | — | Arkansas $11K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | — | Over $9.6K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.5K | Nets $9.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $138 | Cavaliers $11K | — | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $149 | — | Under $11K |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Sabres $416 | — | — | Stars $9.3K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $3.9K | — | Virginia Tech $3.2K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $573 | — | — | Nets $6.0K |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | — | Over $3.0K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | — | Texas $5.7K | — | LSU $24 |