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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | ilyho | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $362K | $19K | $769K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #953 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (150 of 272 open) | 63% (114 of 181 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | — | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | — | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
34 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | ilyho | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $6.8K | Bulls $9.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $2.2K | Cavaliers $13K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.3K | Under $8.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.4K | Nets $9.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $37 | Cavaliers $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $325 | Cavaliers $9.4K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.0K | Under $4.6K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $931 | Under $5.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $19 | Pelicans $5.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $644 | Nuggets $4.1K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.3K | Under $549 | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $395 | Nuggets $586 | — | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | Flyers $13 | Blue Jackets $796 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $239 | Over $405 | — | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1 | Under $591 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | Pistons $199 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $29 | Over $445 | — | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11 | Under $452 | — | — |
| Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons | Little Rock Trojans $4 | Northwestern State Demons $340 | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Utah $231 | — | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | Over $241 | — | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | Montana Grizzlies $21 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $104 | Under $37 | — | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Wild $16 | Bruins $70 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $54 | Nets $15 | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6 | Under $25 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $4 | Pistons $9 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $8 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $13K | Cavaliers $48K | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $11K | Pelicans $18K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $872 | Grizzlies $25K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $155 | Cavaliers $15K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $31 | Under $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $2.5K | Cavaliers $8.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.2K | Bulls $8.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $914 | Cavaliers $8.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | Heat $7.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $686 | Cavaliers $6.7K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $551 | Cavaliers $6.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.5K | Bulls $2.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $293 | Heat $6.0K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | Under $4.9K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $221 | Over $4.7K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.5K | Over $1.2K | — | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $138 | Under $4.2K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $238 | Under $2.9K | — | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $277 | Under $2.8K | — | — |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning same side · consensus Lightning | Red Wings $154 | Red Wings $2.3K | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — | — |