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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Bloodmaster2 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (13–8, n=21) | 53% (494–432, n=926) | 48% (575–620, n=1195) |
| Consensus PnL | -$76K | $353K | $498K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #707 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #17 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (138 of 205 open) | 54% (61 of 112 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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|
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 80% of 5) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 82% of 11) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bloodmaster2 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.8K | USC $19K |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $9.6K | Under $9.5K |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $5 | San Jose State $16K |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus LSU | — | LSU $336 | Texas $15K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.3K | Over $12K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $12K | Avalanche $2.5K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $7.3K | Arkansas $6.6K |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | — | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Over $8.9K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.6K | Over $5.6K |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Bruins $882 | Wild $10K |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | — | Blue Jackets $826 | Flyers $8.8K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $5 | Pelicans $9.6K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $7.6K |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $3.9K | USC $4.8K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.1K | Over $117 |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | — | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.4K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $6.4K |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | — | North Carolina $3.1K | Louisville $993 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $2.1K | Mavericks $1.7K |
| USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2 | Under $3.0K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $120 | Under $2.7K |
| Spread: Washington (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $2 | Washington $2.3K |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $199 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $619 | Over $817 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $229 | Under $933 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | Florida $19 | Kentucky $1.1K |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | — | Rice $370 | Tulane $457 |
| Manhattan Jaspers vs. Le Moyne Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Manhattan Jaspers | — | Le Moyne Dolphins $109 | Manhattan Jaspers $1 |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | — | Auburn $6 | Mississippi State $5 |
| Spread: Texas State (-9.5) same side · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $18K | Texas State $26K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.2K | Over $15K |
| Spread: Louisiana Tech (-17.5) same side · consensus Louisiana Tech | — | Southern Miss $40 | Southern Miss $12K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $184 | Air Force $12K |
| Spread: Washington (-3.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $12K | Michigan State $10 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State same side · consensus Oregon State | — | Boise State $11K | Boise State $590 |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | — | Lightning $783 | Lightning $10K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $704 | New Mexico $6.5K |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $5.8K | Indiana $1.2K |
| Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5) same side · consensus Marshall | — | Marshall $4.1K | Marshall $2.9K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $252 | Pistons $5.7K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | Over $887 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K |
| Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-34.5) same side · consensus Rider Broncs | — | Rider Broncs $465 | Rider Broncs $1.6K |
| Spread: Providence Friars (-11.5) same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | — | Colorado Buffaloes $50 | Colorado Buffaloes $1.5K |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $45 | Under $1.5K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $524 | Over $881 |
| Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5) same side · consensus Penn Quakers | — | Penn Quakers $153 | Penn Quakers $880 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-14.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $2 | Virginia Tech $380 |