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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bloodmaster2FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)62% (13–8, n=21)71% (2547–1041, n=3588)53% (494–432, n=926)48% (575–620, n=1195)
Consensus PnL-$76K$493K$353K$498K
Tracked asPM monthly #707PM monthly #12PM monthly #8PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position43% (73 of 168 open)67% (136 of 202 open)55% (59 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 80% of 5)11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 82% of 11)27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 54 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBloodmaster2FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $111Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.6K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $372Under $8.1KOver $117
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $75Cavaliers $2.1KMavericks $1.7K
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders
—Fresno State Bulldogs $1.0KUC Riverside Highlanders $207UC Riverside Highlanders $2
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $153Penn Quakers $880
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $46—Mavericks $38K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $22KAvalanche $2.5K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $13KCavaliers $6.5K—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
——LSU $336Texas $15K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $90Under $15K—
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Air Force
——Air Force $5San Jose State $15K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KOver $12K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $7.4KArkansas $6.8K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
——Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $8.6K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $2.0K—Kentucky $11K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.6KOver $5.6K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Bruins $1.1KWild $10K
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $9.6KUnder $1.1K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
——Blue Jackets $826Flyers $8.8K
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $5Pelicans $9.6K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $178—Nets $9.1K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.9KUnder $6.7K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.4K
Sydney: Benjamin O'Connell vs Chase Ferguson
opposite sides · consensus Chase Ferguson
—Chase Ferguson $5.3K—Benjamin O'Connell $987
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $10Cavaliers $4.8K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.7KNets $2.8K—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
——North Carolina $3.1KLouisville $1.0K
Sydney: Hiroki Moriya vs Sam Ryan Ziegann
opposite sides · consensus Hiroki Moriya
—Hiroki Moriya $3.0K—Sam Ryan Ziegann $779
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $120Under $2.7K
Spread: Washington (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Michigan State $2Washington $2.3K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.9KIslanders $199
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $431—Pistons $1.6K
Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 143.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $26Under $1.4K—
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $619Over $817
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $229Under $933
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
——Florida $19Kentucky $1.1K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $16Under $972—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $637South Carolina $258—
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
——Rice $370Tulane $457
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $58Over $670—
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars
—Providence Friars $405—Colorado Buffaloes $4
South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $286—
Minnesota vs. Penn State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $285Over $4
Spread: Providence Friars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars
—Colorado Buffaloes $258Providence Friars $5—
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Colorado Buffaloes $229Providence Friars $3—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108Under $65—
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
—San Francisco Dons $113Portland State Vikings $52—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $50Over $113—