Known as FailedMission since Nov 14 2026 · Previously known as: FailedMission (Nov 10 – Nov 14 2026), ColdBlooded (Nov 9 – Nov 10 2026)
Consensus PnL -$76K · win rate 62% (13–8, n=21) · PM monthly #707 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-76.0K
Record
13W / 8L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 21 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#725
Source
PM monthly #707
Record (90 d)
13/21 · 62%
Trades
433
Markets
23
Volume
$131.7K
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Specialties
16 settled consensus markets · held side won 81% at an average entry of 79¢- Esports
+3 pts
side won 81% of 16 · avg entry 79¢
ROI −22%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 80% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 69%(won 82% of 11)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.