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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bloodmaster2 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (13–8, n=21) | 53% (494–432, n=926) | 48% (575–620, n=1195) | 54% (441–371, n=812) |
| Consensus PnL | -$76K | $353K | $498K | $325K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #707 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #148 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (136 of 202 open) | 55% (59 of 108 open) | 57% (101 of 178 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 80% of 5) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 82% of 11) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
59 on the same side, 71 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bloodmaster2 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $23K | Avalanche $2.5K | Avalanche $8.1K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $7.4K | Arkansas $6.8K | Arkansas $1.3K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.4K | Over $12K | Under $434 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | — | Boise State $11K | Boise State $590 | Oregon State $2.4K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Over $8.6K | Over $952 |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | — | North Carolina $3.1K | Louisville $1.0K | North Carolina $8.4K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.6K | Over $5.6K | Over $777 |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Bruins $1.1K | Wild $10K | Bruins $6 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.6K | Stanford $4.1K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $5 | Pelicans $9.6K | Nuggets $565 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $6.4K | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $7.6K | Bulls $844 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $252 | Pistons $5.7K | Heat $782 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $120 | Under $2.7K | Over $770 |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | — | Rice $370 | Tulane $457 | Rice $2.7K |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K | North Dakota State $85 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $524 | Over $881 | Under $1.0K |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $199 | Islanders $214 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $619 | Over $817 | Over $696 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | Florida $19 | Kentucky $1.1K | Florida $298 |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | — | Auburn $6 | Mississippi State $5 | Auburn $58 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $21K | Grizzlies $209 | Grizzlies $32K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | Over $521 |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $3.0K | Maple Leafs $5.5K | Maple Leafs $4.7K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $5.2K | Heat $4.7K | Heat $3.2K |
| Spread: Washington (-3.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $12K | Michigan State $10 | Michigan State $614 |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $184 | Air Force $12K | Air Force $145 |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $45 | Under $1.5K | Under $2.9K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | Over $887 | Over $489 |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | — | Panthers $25K | Blues $199 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $19K | — | Nuggets $381 |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus LSU | — | LSU $336 | Texas $15K | — |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | — | — | Kentucky $11K | Florida $4.6K |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $5 | San Jose State $15K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Nuggets $12K | Pelicans $2.9K |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | — | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K | — |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $206 | — | Under $13K |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | — | Islanders $11K | Ducks $563 |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | — | Pistons $1.6K | Heat $9.8K |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $9.6K | Under $1.1K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.7K | — | Over $6.4K |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | — | Blue Jackets $826 | Flyers $8.8K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $6.2K |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.9K | Under $6.7K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.1K | Over $117 | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | — | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.4K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.7K | — | Over $3.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $3.8K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $106 | — | Heat $5.2K |