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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x33d069...d826c0Flaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)71% (2602–1070, n=3672)54% (452–389, n=841)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL-$2.0K$485K$322K$769K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #10PM monthly #267was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position49% (122 of 249 open)56% (111 of 199 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)13% (won 40% of 81)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)24% (won 62% of 144)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)43% (won 74% of 261)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)20% (won 98% of 119)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x33d069...d826c0Flaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $16Stars $99K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $7.9KGrizzlies $64K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $112Grizzlies $29K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $2.6KBulls $15K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $24Utah $14K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.5KNets $11K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $98Avalanche $11K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $481Nets $9.9K—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $5.7KNuggets $350—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.5KUnder $2.9K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $187Over $3.5K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.8KUnder $68—
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $553Mavericks $330—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $260Oklahoma $507—
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $233Under $374—
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $320Nuggets $243—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $242Under $295—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $3Nets $513—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $291Nets $220—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $63Over $442—
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1Over $488—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $248Mavericks $218—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9Over $314—
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $230Oilers $89—
Panthers vs. Blues
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Panthers $9Blues $210—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $45Over $51—
Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2Over $89—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $11Bruins $4—
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $12KMavericks $173—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $210Heat $8.6K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $5.8K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $75Over $6.9K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
same side · consensus Florida
—Florida $1.8KFlorida $4.3K—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $43Maple Leafs $4.9K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $3.3KBulls $1.3K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $935Under $2.1K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $43Under $2.3K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $384Texas Tech $2.0K—
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $58Avalanche $1.9K—
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $84Under $1.9K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $399Under $1.5K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $759Arkansas $869—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $477Heat $749—
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $1.1KNuggets $10—
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $563Bulls $155—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $328Heat $332—
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
—Wild $17Wild $541—
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flyers
—Blue Jackets $99Blue Jackets $348—
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Dayton Flyers
same side · consensus Cincinnati Bearcats
—Cincinnati Bearcats $36Cincinnati Bearcats $394—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2Over $362—