Consensus PnL -$11K · win rate 83% (15–3, n=18) · was PM monthly #338 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-10.9K
Record
15W / 3L
Win Rate
83.0%
of 18 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#296
Source
PM monthly #338
Record (90 d)
15/15 · 100%
Trades
283
Markets
20
Volume
$2.6M
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ANatus Vincere $97K · now 71¢ · in at 48¢with the consensus (62% of 61)
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere $63K · now 100¢ · in at 74¢with the consensus (100% of 8)
Specialties
15 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 59¢- Esports
+41 pts
side won 100% of 15 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +46%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 27%(won 100% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 100% of 7)
- 70¢ and up: 27%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.