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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorplasercat397777nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)50% (1–1, n=2)54% (455–392, n=847)
Consensus PnL$795K$482K$67K$324K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #415PM monthly #287
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (151 of 281 open)no open consensus position55% (99 of 181 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%—71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)—13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)—24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)—43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)—20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorplasercat397777nigiri99
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $92—Bulls $197K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $403—Stars $96K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23—Utah $14K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.5K—Nets $10K
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $1.0K—Heat $10K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $10K—Nuggets $504
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $11K—Mavericks $48
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
—Canadiens $134—Avalanche $9.9K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $573—Nets $5.8K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.8K—Under $1.7K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $31—Over $2.4K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $562—Pelicans $1.7K
Red Wings vs. Lightning
opposite sides · consensus Lightning
—Red Wings $154—Lightning $1.9K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Over $154
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $938—Mavericks $78
Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $685—Under $330
Spread: Nets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $135—Nets $669
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $260—Oklahoma $507
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $435—Under $290
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $255—Over $424
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $616—Mavericks $63
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $259—Over $316
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bruins
—Bruins $4—Wild $541
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $350—Nets $80
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $5—Nets $412
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $314—Timberwolves $6
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $111—Over $186
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $205—Oilers $89
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $88—Over $160
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $54—Over $53
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
—Utah $89—Sharks $12
Panthers vs. Blues
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $11—Blues $20
Kobe: Koki Matsuda vs Shintaro Imai
opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai
—Koki Matsuda $19—Shintaro Imai $10
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $950—Grizzlies $33K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $293—Heat $11K
Florida vs. Kentucky
same side · consensus Florida
—Florida $2.9K—Florida $6.8K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.9K—Over $7.2K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $208—Over $7.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.4K—Bulls $1.4K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Under $3.4K
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $3.2K—Nuggets $117
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $384—Texas Tech $2.9K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $854—Under $2.2K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $1.1K—Arkansas $1.5K
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $93—Under $2.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.7K—Bulls $288
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $52—Avalanche $1.8K
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $1.7K—Nuggets $10
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $278—Under $1.3K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434—Heat $915