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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighlasercat397777
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)48% (600–648, n=1248)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL$795K$482K$512K$67K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #18PM monthly #415
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (151 of 281 open)52% (78 of 149 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighlasercat397777
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $43Bulls $63K—
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Senators $140Penguins $32K—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $10KNuggets $20K—
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Blues $1Panthers $25K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.9KUnder $21K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $75Devils $16K—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $416Stars $9.3K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.4KTimberwolves $3.1K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $573Nets $6.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434Pistons $5.2K—
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Blue Jackets $11Flyers $5.1K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
—Canadiens $36Avalanche $4.0K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $350Nets $3.4K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $1.1KSouth Carolina $2.0K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $259Over $2.7K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $412Nets $1.2K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $585Mavericks $781—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $27Under $988—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $240Cavaliers $756—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7Under $945—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334Under $581—
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $785Nuggets $3—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $632Over $2—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $616Mavericks $2—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $88Over $447—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $465—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $445Timberwolves $11—
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $205Oilers $204—
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $308Nuggets $8—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $308—
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $255Over $47—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $132Over $7—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $5Nets $108—
Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105Over $1—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $88Under $14—
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $93Over $8—
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Oilers $5Maple Leafs $6—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5Under $3—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $11KCavaliers $133K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.8KOver $26K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Arizona $21K—
Wild vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Wild
—Wild $16Wild $17K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $562Nuggets $14K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $8.7K—
Senators vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Senators
—Penguins $162Penguins $11K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $77Mavericks $11K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
same side · consensus Blue Jackets
—Flyers $4Flyers $9.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $293Heat $5.9K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $435Over $5.7K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.7KOver $413—