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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighSecondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)52% (12–11, n=23)72% (1945–745, n=2690)48% (446–481, n=927)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$567K$410K$521K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #14PM monthly #19PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (130 of 236 open)56% (47 of 84 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)37% (won 100% of 110)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 150)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 22)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighSecondhandvinyl
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $19K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $333Golden Knights $11K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2KWarriors $241—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.0KOver $6.4K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2KOver $4.9K—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5.0K—Under $22
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $436Rockets $1.4K—
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $782—No $1.0K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 242.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KUnder $22—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $388Clippers $558—
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
—Alabama Crimson Tide $703Seton Hall Pirates $210—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $793Over $2—
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
—UNLV Runnin' Rebels $764Stanford Cardinal $18—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $608Warriors $2—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $2—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $94Over $18—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $43Trail Blazers $18—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $23—
Jazz vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.8KRockets $88K—
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $70K—Yes $953
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $51K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5KRangers $39K—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Rangers $221Rangers $35K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.1KSpurs $24K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $101Kings $22K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $505Over $17K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KUnder $2.3K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $2.2K—
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.9KJazz $1.1K—
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.3KJazz $365—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $5—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $251
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.8KJazz $10—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KOver $504—
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $1.4KClippers $264—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.1KClippers $340—
Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren
same side · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
—Sebastian Gorzny $736Sebastian Gorzny $630—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $515Clippers $844—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $560Spurs $746—
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $393Jazz $823—
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $25Over $415—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $380Kings $16—
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Jazz $328Jazz $59—
W50 Yokohama: Kanon Sawashiro vs Heather Watson
same side · consensus Heather Watson
—Kanon Sawashiro $200Kanon Sawashiro $57—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $220Clippers $25—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $124Warriors $113—
Spread: Spurs (-28.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Spurs $138Spurs $19—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $133Under $4—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $86Predators $3—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $4Warriors $77—