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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardSecondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)52% (12–11, n=23)72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (371–318, n=689)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$567K$410K$398K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (128 of 232 open)70% (121 of 174 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardSecondhandvinyl
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.3KThunder $12K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KUnder $2.5K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $94Over $3.2K—
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $71Over $3.2K—
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Auburn Tigers $869Arizona Wildcats $1.3K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $358Clippers $1.7K—
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $782—No $1.0K
Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $1.5K—
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Auburn Tigers $697Arizona Wildcats $156—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $447Over $391—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $602Over $71—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $499—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $118Trail Blazers $376—
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah State Aggies $130California-San Diego Tritons $336—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $424Under $4—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $309Clippers $40—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $3—
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
—UNLV Runnin' Rebels $214Stanford Cardinal $2—
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $183Jazz $9—
Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-31.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
—Arizona State Sun Devils $57Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $95—
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 140.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9Under $113—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $5Trail Blazers $79—
Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $4—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 157.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $14Over $12—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $20Over $3—
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $30K—Yes $954
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4.5KJazz $25K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.0KSpurs $25K—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.2KSpurs $16K—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $602Spurs $14K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.0KOver $9.9K—
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.9KJazz $8.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $9.0K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $7.0KSpurs $3.2K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $802Under $6.1K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $560Spurs $5.5K—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
same side · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Arizona Wildcats $5.0KArizona Wildcats $429—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $2.6K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5KRangers $3.5K—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.8KJazz $2.7K—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $426Thunder $3.6K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $333Predators $3.6K—
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $230Under $2.0K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $243
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $761Over $267—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $405Kings $44—