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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)53% (516–456, n=972)48% (600–648, n=1248)
Consensus PnL$15K$362K$512K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #10PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (98 of 146 open)48% (48 of 99 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketetthhhhHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $811Tulsa $40K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.4KOver $26K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KOver $24K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $9.1KTimberwolves $14K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Utah $231Arizona $21K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $867Under $16K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.6KOver $12K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $11K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KOver $9.6K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $7.4KPistons $5.2K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.1KOver $7.2K
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $149Under $11K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Stanford $3.9KVirginia Tech $3.2K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.4KOver $3.0K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $5.7KLSU $24
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $2.0KTimberwolves $3.1K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.2KOver $3
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
—North Carolina $2.1KLouisville $2.0K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $718
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
—North Dakota State $2.2KHawai'i $728
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $195
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572Under $970
Spread: Louisville (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—North Carolina $547Louisville $388
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $405Under $11
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $199Heat $9
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $83KGrizzlies $33K
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus UNLV
—New Mexico $365New Mexico $32K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $25KGrizzlies $291
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.2KOver $15K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $1.9KTexas $18K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $15KNets $3.4K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $6.0KHeat $8.2K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $7.5KNets $6.0K
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13KOver $170
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $8.7K
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $850New Mexico $7.8K
Spread: LSU (-6.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—LSU $5.4KLSU $238
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.0KVirginia Tech $3.1K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Pistons $4.0KPistons $2
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $1.4KHawai'i $1.6K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $447
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $910Under $9
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $241Over $308
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $147Over $390
Spread: Virginia Tech (-14.5)
same side · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $2Virginia Tech $383
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $15Nets $247
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $66Under $5
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $8Nets $12