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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)52% (527–481, n=1008)48% (617–662, n=1279)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$15K$370K$549K$769K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #10PM monthly #18was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (89 of 136 open)59% (60 of 102 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketetthhhhHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $477Tulsa $43K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.6KOver $28K—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KUnder $16K—
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Jose State
—Air Force $5San Jose State $17K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $13KTimberwolves $1.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $10KPistons $3.2K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $7.3K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.9KOver $6.1K—
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25Under $11K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $7.7K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $4.4K—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $3.6KLSU $30—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $2.7KTimberwolves $409—
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
—North Dakota State $2.3KHawai'i $728—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KUnder $108—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $291—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—North Carolina $1.6KLouisville $170—
Spread: Louisville (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—North Carolina $754Louisville $444—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572Under $525—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $352Under $12—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $157Heat $11—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $88KGrizzlies $38K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $28KGrizzlies $348—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $11KOver $17K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Utah $234Utah $25K—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $1.8KTexas $16K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $8.4KHeat $8.9K—
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $151New Mexico $13K—
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13KOver $174—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $966Over $7.8K—
Spread: LSU (-6.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—LSU $6.3KLSU $278—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $596New Mexico $5.5K—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.0KVirginia Tech $3.1K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $2.8KTexas Tech $865—
Spread: Utah (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah
—Utah $603Utah $2.4K—
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $1.4KHawai'i $1.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Pistons $2.3KPistons $1—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $936Over $339—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $164Over $433—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $16Nets $37—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $2Nets $43—