Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)58% (21–15, n=36)52% (527–481, n=1008)48% (617–662, n=1279)
Consensus PnL$15K$886K$370K$549K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (92 of 142 open)57% (59 of 103 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketetthhhhfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $477Tulsa $43K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.6KOver $28K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $922Over $25K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $16K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.9KOver $16K
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Jose State
——Air Force $5San Jose State $17K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Heat $10KPistons $3.2K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $13KTimberwolves $560
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $7.3K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.9KOver $6.1K
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $25Under $11K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $7.7K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $4.4K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
——Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.5KOver $10
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
——Texas $3.6KLSU $30
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $2.7KTimberwolves $409
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
——North Dakota State $2.2KHawai'i $728
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.6KUnder $108
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.9KIslanders $291
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
——North Carolina $1.6KLouisville $170
Spread: Louisville (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
——North Carolina $754Louisville $444
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $572Under $525
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $352Under $12
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $157Heat $11
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $88KGrizzlies $38K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $28KGrizzlies $348
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $11KOver $17K
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
——Utah $234Utah $25K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
——Texas $1.8KTexas $16K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $8.4KHeat $8.9K
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $151New Mexico $13K
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13KOver $174
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $966Over $7.8K
Spread: LSU (-6.5)
same side · consensus LSU
——LSU $6.3KLSU $278
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $596New Mexico $5.5K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $1.0KVirginia Tech $3.1K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
——Texas Tech $2.8KTexas Tech $865
Spread: Utah (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah
——Utah $603Utah $2.4K
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $1.4KHawai'i $1.6K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Pistons $2.3KPistons $1
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $936Over $339
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $164Over $433
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $16Nets $37
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
——Nets $2Nets $49