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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)52% (527–481, n=1008)48% (617–662, n=1279)53% (472–417, n=889)
Consensus PnL$15K$370K$549K$399K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #10PM monthly #18PM monthly #129
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (92 of 142 open)58% (60 of 104 open)50% (68 of 135 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketetthhhhHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $13KTimberwolves $560Bulls $32K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.6KOver $28KUnder $1.2K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $922Over $25KUnder $37
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KUnder $16KUnder $5.6K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.9KOver $16KUnder $26
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Jose State
—Air Force $5San Jose State $17KSan Jose State $552
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $10KPistons $3.2KHeat $1.3K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $7.3KArkansas $2.5K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.9KOver $6.1KOver $1.5K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $7.7KUnder $140
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.5KOver $10Over $5.7K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $2.3KPistons $1Heat $7.5K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.0KVirginia Tech $3.1KStanford $4.3K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $4.4KOver $549
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $596New Mexico $5.5KUNLV $224
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—North Carolina $1.6KLouisville $170North Carolina $4.2K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $2.7KTimberwolves $409Bulls $1.8K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $3.6KLSU $30Texas $145
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $291Ducks $1.3K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572Under $525Under $712
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $157Heat $11Heat $571
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $88KGrizzlies $38KGrizzlies $76K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $28KGrizzlies $348Grizzlies $36K
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Utah $234Utah $25KUtah $17K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $8.4KHeat $8.9KHeat $14K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $11KOver $17KOver $614
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $1.8KTexas $16KTexas $134
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13KOver $174Over $1.7K
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $151New Mexico $13KNew Mexico $162
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $2.8KTexas Tech $865Texas Tech $6.3K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $936Over $339Over $121
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $2Nets $49Nets $105
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $477Tulsa $43K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $2.4K
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
——Kayla Harrison $9.4KAmanda Nunes $5.0K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
——Utah $11KArizona $2.1K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $11KDucks $573
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25Under $11K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.7K—Over $6.2K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.7K—Under $2.9K
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
——Wyoming $100UTEP $6.9K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Stanford $4.6K—Virginia Tech $983
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $1.1K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.4K—Under $365
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
——South Carolina $1.7KArkansas $1.8K
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
—North Dakota State $2.2KHawai'i $728—
Spread: New Mexico (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus UNLV
—New Mexico $2.3K—UNLV $554
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KUnder $108—
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $1.9K—Wyoming $679