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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)52% (527–481, n=1008)48% (617–662, n=1279)
Consensus PnL$15K$502K$370K$549K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #11PM monthly #10PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (100 of 183 open)65% (92 of 142 open)58% (60 of 104 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 49 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketetthhhhFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5.0KUnder $5.6KOver $28K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $657Under $922Over $25K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Utah $234Utah $25K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $1.9KOver $16K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $6.5KBulls $13KTimberwolves $560
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $1.0KHeat $10KPistons $3.2K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.1KUnder $2.6KOver $7.7K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.6KBulls $2.7KTimberwolves $409
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KOver $2.6KUnder $108
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $423Pistons $2.3KPistons $1
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $936Over $339
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $879Over $352Under $12
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $710Pistons $157Heat $11
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $75Nets $2Nets $49
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $16Nets $37
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $8.2KGrizzlies $88KGrizzlies $38K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $28KGrizzlies $348
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $2.2KHeat $8.4KHeat $8.9K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $966Over $7.8K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $2.8KTexas Tech $865
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $578Over $164Over $433
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $477Tulsa $43K
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.7KNets $40K—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $16K
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Jose State
——Air Force $5San Jose State $17K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $188—Stars $13K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $7.3K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.9KOver $6.1K
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $25Under $11K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $4.4K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $409—Nets $5.3K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $730—Nets $4.7K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
——Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.5KOver $10
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $2.2K—South Carolina $1.7K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
——Texas $3.6KLSU $30
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
——North Dakota State $2.2KHawai'i $728
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.9KIslanders $291
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $616—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
——North Carolina $1.6KLouisville $170
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $214—
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $443—Nets $900
Spread: Louisville (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
——North Carolina $754Louisville $444
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $572Under $525
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $853—Under $2
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $785—Over $9
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $447—Under $258
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $28Over $532—
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
—Little Rock Trojans $9Northwestern State Demons $405—