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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 54% (371–318, n=689) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $567K | $410K | $398K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (128 of 236 open) | 70% (121 of 174 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 32% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 59% (won 100% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 8% (won 100% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $1.2K | Thunder $12K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $505 | Under $9.8K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $2.5K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $94 | Over $3.2K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $71 | Over $3.2K |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | — | Auburn Tigers $794 | Arizona Wildcats $1.3K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $358 | Clippers $1.7K |
| Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | — | Auburn Tigers $667 | Arizona Wildcats $156 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Under $499 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $103 | Trail Blazers $376 |
| Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | — | Utah State Aggies $130 | California-San Diego Tritons $336 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $336 | Clippers $40 |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | — | — | Saint Mary's Gaels $328 | UIC Flames $3 |
| Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels | — | — | UNLV Runnin' Rebels $212 | Stanford Cardinal $2 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $190 | Over $10 |
| Spread: Rockets (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $190 | Jazz $9 |
| Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-31.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | — | — | Arizona State Sun Devils $57 | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $95 |
| DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 140.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $9 | Under $113 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $4 | Trail Blazers $79 |
| Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $4 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 157.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $14 | Over $12 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $20 | Over $3 |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $4.5K | Jazz $25K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $1.1K | Spurs $25K |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $1.2K | Spurs $16K |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $602 | Spurs $14K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.0K | Over $9.9K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $8.2K | Spurs $3.2K |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $1.9K | Jazz $8.7K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Under $8.8K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $798 | Under $6.1K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $560 | Spurs $5.5K |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers same side · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | — | Arizona Wildcats $5.0K | Arizona Wildcats $429 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.4K | Over $2.6K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | — | Rangers $1.5K | Rangers $3.5K |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $1.7K | Jazz $2.7K |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $472 | Thunder $3.6K |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | — | Predators $333 | Predators $3.6K |
| Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $280 | Under $2.0K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Falcons $169 | Falcons $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $220 | Clippers $209 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $384 | Kings $44 |
| Spread: San Diego Toreros (-14.5) same side · consensus Chicago State Cougars | — | — | Chicago State Cougars $2 | Chicago State Cougars $382 |
| Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-15.5) same side · consensus Seton Hall Pirates | — | — | Alabama Crimson Tide $204 | Alabama Crimson Tide $114 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | — | Warriors $4 | Warriors $173 |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $20 | Colorado $101 |