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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 54% (345–290, n=635) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $410K | $398K | $403K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 50% (108 of 214 open) | 69% (117 of 170 open) | 55% (64 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
51 on the same side, 52 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $4.6K | Jazz $25K | Rockets $191 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.1K | Thunder $12K | Thunder $52 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $505 | Under $9.8K | Under $116 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $789 | Under $6.0K | Over $1.2K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $1.5K | Rangers $3.5K | Canucks $29 |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $505 | Thunder $3.6K | Clippers $12 |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $333 | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $79 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $186 | Trail Blazers $376 | Trail Blazers $1.6K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Over $71 | Over $305 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Under $499 | Under $73 |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $17 | Warriors $1 | Spurs $259 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.1K | Spurs $25K | Spurs $2.1K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $8.2K | Spurs $3.2K | Spurs $8.3K |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.3K | Spurs $16K | Spurs $661 |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $560 | Spurs $5.5K | Spurs $9.6K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Under $8.7K | Under $1.8K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $540 | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $8.9K |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.8K | Jazz $2.7K | Jazz $51 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $20 | Colorado $101 | Colorado $1.0K |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $2.8K | Houston $9.3K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $5.5K | Over $30 |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.2K | Under $2.4K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $2.4K | Kings $1.7K |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | — | UConn $2.1K | James Madison $1.3K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $133 | — | Over $3.2K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $71 | Over $3.2K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.9K | Over $54 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | — | Georgia State $6 | — | Georgia Southern $2.7K |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | — | Alabama $1.6K | Vanderbilt $967 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Auburn Tigers $889 | Arizona Wildcats $1.3K | — |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | — | — | Illinois $434 | UCLA $1.5K |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $460 | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $366 |
| Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Trail Blazers $225 | — | Kings $627 |
| California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | — | Utah State Aggies $791 | California-San Diego Tritons $52 |
| Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels | — | UNLV Runnin' Rebels $776 | Stanford Cardinal $2 | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | — | — | Mississippi State $393 | Auburn $373 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Auburn Tigers $552 | Arizona Wildcats $156 | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $290 | — | Yes $362 |
| Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | Utah State Aggies $130 | California-San Diego Tritons $336 | — |
| Spread: Kings (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $38 | — | Trail Blazers $395 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $383 | Clippers $40 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Over $182 |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | — | Saint Mary's Gaels $328 | UIC Flames $3 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $309 | Over $10 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $23 | Under $200 |