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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | paintscrel | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (481–419, n=900) | 48% (558–608, n=1166) | 0% (0–3, n=3) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $363K | $515K | -$4.6K | $782K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #18 | was PM monthly #954 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (147 of 232 open) | 61% (82 of 134 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | — | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | — | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | — | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | — | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | paintscrel | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $1.1K | Gen.G $3 | Bilibili Gaming $91K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.8K | USC $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | Georgia Southern $57 | Georgia State $25K | — | — |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $8.4K | Under $7.0K | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $336 | Texas $15K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.4K | Over $12K | — | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $7.4K | Arkansas $6.7K | — | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.9K | Over $8.8K | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5.6K | Over $5.6K | — | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Bruins $544 | Wild $10K | — | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets $826 | Flyers $9.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Liberty (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee | Liberty $2.2K | Middle Tennessee $7.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $5 | Pelicans $9.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $7.4K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.1K | Over $121 | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.4K | — | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Stanford $866 | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.0K | USC $4.5K | — | — |
| USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2 | Under $4.2K | — | — |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings | San Francisco Dons $1.4K | Portland State Vikings $2.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $2.1K | Mavericks $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: West Virginia (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Kansas | West Virginia $81 | Kansas $3.6K | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | Canadiens $26 | Avalanche $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Washington (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Washington | Michigan State $2 | Washington $2.3K | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $203 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $229 | Under $933 | — | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $18 | Kentucky $1.1K | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $122 | Under $692 | — | — |
| Spread: Oregon (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan | Oregon $74 | Michigan $484 | — | — |
| Manhattan Jaspers vs. Le Moyne Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Manhattan Jaspers | Le Moyne Dolphins $109 | Manhattan Jaspers $2 | — | — |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | Auburn $6 | Mississippi State $17 | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner same side · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Gen.G $4.1K | Gen.G $390K |
| Spread: Texas State (-9.5) same side · consensus Texas State | Texas State $15K | Texas State $22K | — | — |
| Washington vs. Michigan State same side · consensus Washington | Michigan State $32K | Michigan State $3.2K | — | — |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.5K | Over $22K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | — | — |
| Spread: Missouri State (-1.5) same side · consensus New Mexico State | New Mexico State $2.7K | New Mexico State $15K | — | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State same side · consensus Oregon State | Boise State $10K | Boise State $620 | — | — |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | Lightning $783 | Lightning $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $5.1K | Heat $4.7K | — | — |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4.4K | Under $3.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5) same side · consensus Marshall | Marshall $4.6K | Marshall $2.9K | — | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $704 | New Mexico $6.5K | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $6.2K | — | Gen.G $621 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) same side · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $252 | Pistons $5.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $2.5K | Georgia State $935 | — | — |
| Spread: Nevada (-5.5) same side · consensus Nevada | Nevada $201 | Nevada $3.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $2.1K | Georgia State $203 | — | — |