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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99wata33-ts
Record (consensus markets)72% (1945–745, n=2690)48% (446–481, n=927)54% (345–290, n=635)no settled market
Consensus PnL$410K$521K$403K—
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #19PM monthly #105PM monthly #825
Sides with the consensus51% (109 of 215 open)51% (40 of 78 open)54% (62 of 115 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99wata33-ts
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $1.5KRangers $39KCanucks $29—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $477Trail Blazers $31KKings $2.4K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $242Kings $22KTrail Blazers $1.6K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $505Over $17KUnder $116—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $8.2KWarriors $241Spurs $8.3K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $333Golden Knights $11KGolden Knights $79—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $133Under $4Over $3.2K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $789Over $2Over $1.2K—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.2KClippers $435Thunder $49—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6Under $23Under $13—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5KUnder $50KUnder $1.8K—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Rangers $221Rangers $35KRangers $1.2K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.1KSpurs $24KSpurs $2.1K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $585Clippers $943Clippers $9.6K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $560Spurs $746Spurs $9.6K—
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $369Jazz $823Jazz $1.7K—
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
Clippers $1.6KClippers $308Clippers $488—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.8KJazz $10Jazz $51—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $86Predators $3Predators $458—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $699Houston $9.0K—
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $4.6K—Rockets $191—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6—Georgia Southern $2.7K—
Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
August Holmgren $1.6KSebastian Gorzny $630——
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $460—Yes $1.3K—
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $214Rockets $1.4K——
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $366—
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $847Over $344—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $336Clippers $628——
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $801Under $21——
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide $703Seton Hall Pirates $83——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $130—Kings $627—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $290—Yes $362—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $608Warriors $2——
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $308—Over $182—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $446—Clippers $12—
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $56—Trail Blazers $395—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Jazz $372Rockets $24—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $2——
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Warriors $17—Spurs $259—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Clippers $160—Thunder $10—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $96Trail Blazers $17——
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $79—Over $11—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Under $81—
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Rockets $56Jazz $6——
Spread: Rockets (-37.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Rockets $6—Jazz $45—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $1—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $21KUCLA $1.5K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.9KUnder $2.4K——
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.4KOver $305—
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.9KJazz $1.1K——