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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Secondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)72% (1945–745, n=2690)48% (446–481, n=927)54% (345–290, n=635)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$410K$521K$403K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #19PM monthly #105PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus54% (127 of 236 open)53% (44 of 83 open)55% (66 of 121 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Secondhandvinyl
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $1.5KRangers $39KCanucks $29—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $164Kings $22KTrail Blazers $1.6K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $505Over $17KUnder $116—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $8.2KWarriors $241Spurs $8.3K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $333Golden Knights $11KGolden Knights $79—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4KOver $4.9KOver $305—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $133Under $4Over $3.2K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $793Over $2Over $1.2K—
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $782—Yes $64No $1.0K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.0KClippers $332Thunder $55—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6Under $23Under $13—
Jazz vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $3.9KRockets $88KRockets $53K—
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $71K—Yes $28KYes $957
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5KUnder $51KUnder $1.8K—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Rangers $221Rangers $35KRangers $1.2K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.1KSpurs $24KSpurs $2.1K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $560Spurs $746Spurs $9.6K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $515Clippers $844Clippers $8.4K—
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $403Jazz $823Jazz $1.7K—
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
Clippers $1.4KClippers $264Clippers $488—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.8KJazz $10Jazz $51—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $86Predators $3Predators $458—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $29KKings $2.4K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $699Houston $9.3K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.0KOver $6.4K——
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $39Thunder $6.5K—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.0K——Under $22
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $4.5K—Rockets $191—
Will Guatemala vs. Canada end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6—Georgia Southern $2.7K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $478Kings $2.1K—
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $333Rockets $1.4K——
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $460—Yes $1.3K—
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $366—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 242.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.4KUnder $22——
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $69—Over $1.3K—
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $847Over $344—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $388Clippers $558——
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide $703Seton Hall Pirates $210——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $185—Kings $627—
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
UNLV Runnin' Rebels $764Stanford Cardinal $19——
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $290—Yes $362—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $608Warriors $2——
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $531—Clippers $12—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $512Under $21——
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $50—Trail Blazers $395—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Jazz $372Rockets $24—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $201—Over $182—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $2——
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Warriors $17—Spurs $259—