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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarlzb8zb9
Record (consensus markets)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)48% (600–648, n=1248)58% (11–8, n=19)no settled market
Consensus PnL$482K$512K$769K$0
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #18was PM monthly #70PM monthly #849
Sides with the consensus54% (133 of 245 open)52% (69 of 133 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)58% (won 100% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)33% (won 100% of 4)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarlzb8zb9
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $115Cavaliers $133K——
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
Senators $136Penguins $32K——
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
Capitals $75Devils $16K——
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $155Mavericks $11K——
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Sabres $215Stars $9.3K——
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan
Luis Gurule $30Bilal Hasan $7.9K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $4.5KTimberwolves $3.1K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $615Nets $6.0K——
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Heat $434Pistons $5.2K——
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
Blue Jackets $8Flyers $5.1K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $350Nets $3.4K——
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
Arkansas $1.1KSouth Carolina $1.7K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $412Nets $1.3K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $549Mavericks $781——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $404Under $581——
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $686Mavericks $2——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $649Over $2——
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $54Nets $541——
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
Maple Leafs $205Oilers $204——
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $306Over $47——
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $314Timberwolves $11——
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2Over $308——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $132Over $7——
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $5Nets $122——
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $93Over $8——
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7Under $14——
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Oilers $5Maple Leafs $6——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5Under $3——
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $859Bulls $63K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3.3KOver $26K——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $7.3KTimberwolves $14K——
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
Arizona $23Arizona $21K——
Wild vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Wild
Wild $16Wild $17K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.0KOver $12K——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.7KOver $8.7K——
Senators vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Senators
Penguins $112Penguins $11K——
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
same side · consensus Blue Jackets
Flyers $13Flyers $9.6K——
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $293Heat $7.0K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $963Over $6.3K——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.6KOver $413——
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $5.8KCavaliers $106——
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
same side · consensus Capitals
Capitals $43Capitals $3.3K——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.7KOver $233——
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $924Grizzlies $291——
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Mavericks $325Mavericks $448——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $301Under $402——
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
same side · consensus Avalanche
Avalanche $4Avalanche $612——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $598Over $6——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $422Over $5——
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $373Nets $52——