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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighSakan1
Record (consensus markets)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)48% (600–648, n=1248)no settled market
Consensus PnL$482K$512K—
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #18PM monthly #947
Sides with the consensus56% (149 of 267 open)53% (79 of 148 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighSakan1
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Timberwolves $92Bulls $63K—
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
Senators $140Penguins $32K—
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Blues $1Panthers $25K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.0KUnder $21K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
Capitals $75Devils $16K—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Sabres $373Stars $9.3K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $4.2KTimberwolves $3.1K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $573Nets $6.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Heat $434Pistons $5.2K—
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
Blue Jackets $47Flyers $5.1K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $134Avalanche $4.0K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $350Nets $3.4K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
Arkansas $1.1KSouth Carolina $2.1K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $259Over $2.7K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $412Nets $1.2K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $594Mavericks $781—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $84Under $993—
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Mavericks $240Cavaliers $756—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $16Under $945—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $334Under $581—
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $767Nuggets $3—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $619Over $2—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $565Mavericks $2—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $88Over $447—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $54Nets $465—
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Maple Leafs $205Oilers $204—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $397Timberwolves $11—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2Over $308—
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $292Nuggets $8—
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $238Over $47—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $211Under $14—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $132Over $7—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $5Nets $105—
Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $105Over $1—
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $93Over $8—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5Under $3—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $9.5KCavaliers $133K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3.2KOver $26K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
Arizona $23Arizona $21K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $5.6KNuggets $14K—
Wild vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Wild
Wild $16Wild $17K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.5KOver $12K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.6KOver $9.1K—
Senators vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Senators
Penguins $104Penguins $11K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $293Heat $5.9K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $408Over $5.7K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.6KOver $409—
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
same side · consensus Capitals
Capitals $43Capitals $3.3K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $3.0KCavaliers $106—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $950Grizzlies $291—