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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AndreasSchmkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)100% (4–0, n=4)48% (575–620, n=1195)54% (441–371, n=812)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$498K$325K$769K
Tracked asPM monthly #724PM monthly #17PM monthly #148was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 14 open)56% (60 of 107 open)56% (104 of 186 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAndreasSchmkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $1.1K—Bilibili Gaming $91K
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $25KBlues $199—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $13KPelicans $2.9K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Kentucky $11KFlorida $4.6K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12KUnder $134—
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $11KDucks $563—
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $1.6KHeat $9.8K—
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $9.6KNuggets $565—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $10KBruins $6—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $9.8KMavericks $143—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
—Louisville $1.1KNorth Carolina $8.4K—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $4.6KStanford $4.1K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $7.6KBulls $844—
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $7.2KAmanda Nunes $386—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $6.5KUNLV $183—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.7KHeat $782—
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Flyers $4.9KBlue Jackets $354—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $410—No $4.5K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.7KOver $770—
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
—Tulane $457Rice $2.7K—
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
—Boise State $590Oregon State $2.4K—
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $15Over $2.8K—
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Blues $2.0KPanthers $622—
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $663Kentucky $1.4K—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $881Under $1.0K—
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $1.6KNorth Dakota State $85—
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Charles Radtke
—Stephen Thompson $1.4KCharles Radtke $298—
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Kentucky $1.1KFlorida $298—
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Mississippi State $5Auburn $58—
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $33KBulls $36K—
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $28KNew Mexico $347—
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $9.7KStars $15K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $209Grizzlies $22K—
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $20KOver $875—
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 65.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KOver $17K—
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
—San Jose State $15KSan Jose State $557—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15KOver $521—
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
—Air Force $12KAir Force $145—
Spread: Iowa (-18.5)
same side · consensus Iowa
—Iowa $10KIowa $1.3K—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8.0KUnder $2.6K—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $5.5KMaple Leafs $4.7K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8.6KOver $1.3K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $2.5KAvalanche $6.8K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $9.1KNets $219—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $6.4KVirginia Tech $2.8K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $6.8KArkansas $1.3K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $4.7KHeat $3.2K—
UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Donte Johnson
—Cesar Almeida $3.1KCesar Almeida $3.5K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.6KOver $777—
Panthers vs. Blues
same side · consensus Blues
—Blues $4.4KBlues $509—