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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (575–620, n=1195) | 54% (441–371, n=812) |
| Consensus PnL | $849 | $498K | $325K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #164 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #148 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 56% (60 of 107 open) | 56% (104 of 186 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
32 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $515 | Kentucky $11K | Florida $4.6K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $468 | Cavaliers $9.8K | Mavericks $143 |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $25K | Blues $199 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $13K | Pelicans $2.9K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | Under $134 |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Islanders $11K | Ducks $563 |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $1.6K | Heat $9.8K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $9.6K | Nuggets $565 |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Wild $10K | Bruins $6 |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | — | Louisville $1.1K | North Carolina $8.4K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $4.6K | Stanford $4.1K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $7.6K | Bulls $844 |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | — | Kayla Harrison $7.2K | Amanda Nunes $386 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $6.5K | UNLV $183 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $5.7K | Heat $782 |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | — | Flyers $4.9K | Blue Jackets $354 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.7K | Over $770 |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | — | Tulane $457 | Rice $2.7K |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | — | Boise State $590 | Oregon State $2.4K |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $15 | Over $2.8K |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Blues | — | Blues $2.0K | Panthers $622 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | — | Florida $663 | Kentucky $1.4K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $881 | Under $1.0K |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.6K | North Dakota State $85 |
| UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Charles Radtke | — | Stephen Thompson $1.4K | Charles Radtke $298 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | Kentucky $1.1K | Florida $298 |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | — | Mississippi State $5 | Auburn $58 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $33K | Bulls $36K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $28K | New Mexico $347 |
| Sabres vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | — | Stars $9.7K | Stars $15K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $209 | Grizzlies $22K |
| Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $20K | Over $875 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 65.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.7K | Over $17K |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) same side · consensus San Jose State | — | San Jose State $15K | San Jose State $557 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $15K | Over $521 |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $12K | Air Force $145 |
| Spread: Iowa (-18.5) same side · consensus Iowa | — | Iowa $10K | Iowa $1.3K |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $8.0K | Under $2.6K |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $5.5K | Maple Leafs $4.7K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $8.6K | Over $1.3K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens same side · consensus Canadiens | — | Avalanche $2.5K | Avalanche $6.8K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $9.1K | Nets $219 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $6.4K | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) same side · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $6.8K | Arkansas $1.3K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $4.7K | Heat $3.2K |
| UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims) same side · consensus Donte Johnson | — | Cesar Almeida $3.1K | Cesar Almeida $3.5K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.6K | Over $777 |
| Panthers vs. Blues same side · consensus Blues | — | Blues $4.4K | Blues $509 |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $4.3K | Over $244 |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Under $2.9K |