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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (2547–1041, n=3588) | 48% (575–620, n=1195) | 54% (441–371, n=812) |
| Consensus PnL | $849 | $493K | $498K | $325K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #164 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #148 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 47% (86 of 182 open) | 56% (62 of 110 open) | 54% (104 of 191 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 54 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $515 | Florida $2.0K | Kentucky $12K | Florida $4.6K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $468 | Cavaliers $1.8K | Cavaliers $9.8K | Mavericks $143 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $178 | Nets $9.1K | Nets $222 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $116 | Timberwolves $7.6K | Bulls $835 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $50 | Over $5.6K | Over $777 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $23 | Under $2.5K | Over $770 |
| Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars | — | Providence Friars $405 | Colorado Buffaloes $4 | Colorado Buffaloes $159 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D same side · consensus Froglings | — | 1win $10 | 1win $2.3K | 1win $104 |
| Baylor vs. BYU same side · consensus BYU | — | Baylor $307 | Baylor $19 | Baylor $277 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $6.3K | — | Grizzlies $50K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $46 | Mavericks $38K | — |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | — | Panthers $26K | Blues $199 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Nuggets $13K | Pelicans $3.4K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $357 | — | Nets $15K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | — | Nets $11K |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | — | Islanders $11K | Ducks $563 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $12K | Under $134 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Pelicans $10K | Nuggets $565 |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Red Wings | — | Red Wings $33 | Lightning $10K | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | — | Wild $10K | Bruins $6 |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | — | — | Louisville $1.0K | North Carolina $8.4K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $4.6K | Stanford $4.1K |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | — | — | Kayla Harrison $7.1K | Amanda Nunes $386 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | New Mexico $6.5K | UNLV $185 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $6.2K | — | Nuggets $378 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | — | Pistons $5.7K | Heat $782 |
| Spread: Washington (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan State | — | — | Washington $5.6K | Michigan State $650 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $5.9K | Under $295 |
| Sydney: Benjamin O'Connell vs Chase Ferguson opposite sides · consensus Chase Ferguson | — | Chase Ferguson $5.0K | Benjamin O'Connell $987 | — |
| Spread: Washington (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan State | — | — | Washington $5.4K | Michigan State $342 |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | — | — | Flyers $4.9K | Blue Jackets $359 |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | — | — | Tulane $1.1K | Rice $2.7K |
| Sydney: Hiroki Moriya vs Sam Ryan Ziegann opposite sides · consensus Hiroki Moriya | — | Hiroki Moriya $3.5K | Sam Ryan Ziegann $196 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $90 | — | Under $3.2K |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | — | — | Boise State $590 | Oregon State $2.4K |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $15 | Over $2.8K |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Blues | — | — | Blues $2.0K | Panthers $622 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | — | — | Florida $751 | Kentucky $1.3K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $1.9K | — | Nuggets $107 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $881 | Under $1.0K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $75 | Mavericks $1.7K | — |
| UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Charles Radtke | — | — | Stephen Thompson $1.5K | Charles Radtke $298 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | — | Hawai'i $1.6K | North Dakota State $85 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $16 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | — | Kentucky $1.1K | Florida $298 |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | — | San Francisco Dons $4 | Portland State Vikings $1.2K |
| UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders | — | Fresno State Bulldogs $1.0K | UC Riverside Highlanders $2 | — |
| Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers | — | Saint Joseph's Hawks $90 | Penn Quakers $880 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $489 | — | Gen.G $394 |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $260 | — | Oklahoma $507 |