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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188fantasy7788Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlFlaznorpMD14nigiri99
| 0x33d069...d826c0 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 0% (0–1, n=1) | 53% (516–455, n=971) | 48% (596–641, n=1237) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.0K | $362K | $561K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #460 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 65% (139 of 213 open) | 58% (79 of 137 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x33d069...d826c0 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $78K | — | Gen.G $40K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $21K | Nuggets $17K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Utah $231 | Arizona $21K |
| Spread: Washington (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $13K | Washington $4.7K |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus San Jose State | — | Air Force $4 | San Jose State $17K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $10K | Avalanche $4.6K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.1K | Over $11K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $6.8K | Arkansas $7.4K |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Bruins $697 | Wild $13K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.0K | Over $8.7K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $6.3K | Pistons $5.8K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $7.0K | Over $4.2K |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | — | Capitals $2.1K | Devils $8.5K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $7.6K |
| Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $386 | Under $8.2K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | — | Florida Atlantic $1.4K | Tulsa $6.5K |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | Over $4.3K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7.3K | Over $159 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $6.3K |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | — | Blue Jackets $1.1K | Flyers $6.0K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.4K | Over $260 |
| Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines | — | Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K | Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.2K | Over $3 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $62 | Under $3.9K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $1.7K | Mavericks $1.7K |
| Panthers vs. Blues opposite sides · consensus Blues | — | Panthers $1.5K | Blues $1.9K |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | — | North Carolina $2.2K | Louisville $1.1K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | Under $933 |
| Spread: Washington (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $2 | Washington $2.2K |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $199 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $630 | Over $1.0K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $572 | Under $766 |
| Spread: Louisville (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisville | — | North Carolina $798 | Louisville $430 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | Florida $19 | Kentucky $1.1K |
| Minnesota vs. Penn State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $287 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $23K | Nets $13K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $328 | New Mexico $33K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.2K | Over $15K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $22K | Grizzlies $216 |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | — | Texas $1.9K | Texas $17K |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $18K | Over $247 |
| Spread: Louisiana Tech (-17.5) same side · consensus Louisiana Tech | — | Southern Miss $40 | Southern Miss $12K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $178 | Air Force $12K |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State same side · consensus Boise State | — | Boise State $11K | Boise State $887 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $5.2K | Heat $4.8K |
| Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5) same side · consensus Marshall | — | Marshall $5.3K | Marshall $3.8K |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $3.2K | Maple Leafs $5.9K |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | — | Lightning $765 | Lightning $8.2K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $793 | Over $7.0K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $736 | New Mexico $6.8K |