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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x33d069...d826c0FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)71% (2602–1070, n=3672)53% (516–455, n=971)48% (596–641, n=1237)
Consensus PnL-$2.0K$485K$362K$561K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #10PM monthly #11PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position49% (120 of 246 open)66% (142 of 214 open)58% (84 of 144 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

59 on the same side, 75 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x33d069...d826c0FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.4KPelicans $21KNuggets $17K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $112Grizzlies $24KGrizzlies $216
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $24Utah $231Arizona $21K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $11Bruins $697Wild $15K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $213Under $3.4KOver $11K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $98Canadiens $10KAvalanche $4.6K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $462Heat $6.3KPistons $5.8K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $2.8KBulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.6K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $187Under $5.4KOver $4.7K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.8KUnder $6.4KOver $281
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KOver $1.3KUnder $933
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $248Cavaliers $3.4KMavericks $4
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $188Cavaliers $1.7KMavericks $1.7K
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks
—Jacksonville State Gamecocks $3.5KJacksonville State Gamecocks $21UAB Blazers $3
Panthers vs. Blues
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Panthers $9Panthers $1.5KBlues $1.9K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9Over $1.7KOver $632
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $53Penn Quakers $205Penn Quakers $1.2K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $20Under $17Under $715
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $203Over $441Under $10
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $202Over $81Over $267
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $3Nets $9Nets $176
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.0KOver $793Over $7.7K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $210Heat $5.2KHeat $5.9K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $43Maple Leafs $3.2KMaple Leafs $5.9K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $49Under $1.1KUnder $5
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $159Nuggets $558Nuggets $7
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Blues $6—Panthers $35K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Senators $39—Penguins $31K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $12KCavaliers $5.9K—
Spread: Washington (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan State
——Michigan State $13KWashington $4.7K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $6.8KArkansas $8.3K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $481—Nets $13K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.0KOver $8.7K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.5KNets $9.6K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $7.0KOver $4.2K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
——Capitals $2.1KDevils $8.5K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
——Blue Jackets $1.1KFlyers $9.2K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $16—Stars $9.7K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $204—Nets $8.7K
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $386Under $8.2K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $759—South Carolina $7.3K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $1.4KTulsa $6.5K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.4KOver $4.3K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.3K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7KUnder $5.0K—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
——Texas $5.6KLSU $20
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
——Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Blue Jackets $104—Flyers $4.9K
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $68Nuggets $4.9K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.1KOver $3